Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31858196›Full record

ArticleJournal of mathematical biology2020

Uncertainty quantification on a spatial Markov-chain model for the progression of skin cancer.

Fred Vermolen, Ilkka Pölönen

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of mathematical biology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Fred VermolenDelft Institute of Applied Mathematics, Delft University of Technology, Delft, The Netherlands. F.J.Vermolen@tudelft.nl.ORCID 0000-0003-2212-1711
Ilkka PölönenFaculty of Information Technology, University of Jyväskulä, 40014, Jyvaskyla, Finland.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A spatial Markov-chain model is formulated for the progression of skin cancer. The model is based on the division of the computational domain into nodal points, that can be in a binary state: either in 'cancer state' or in 'non-cancer state'. The model assigns probabilities for the non-reversible transition from 'non-cancer' state to the 'cancer state' that depend on the states of the neighbouring nodes. The likelihood of transition further depends on the life burden intensity of the UV-rays that the skin is exposed to. The probabilistic nature of the process and the uncertainty in the input data is assessed by the use of Monte Carlo simulations. A good fit between experiments on mice and our model has been obtained.

Indexed as

Computer SimulationDisease ProgressionMarkov ChainsUncertaintyAnimalsHumansMiceMonte Carlo MethodProbabilitySkin Neoplasms60J2065C0565C40

Identifiers

PMID31858196
PMCPMC7028824

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.