Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31858184›Full record

ArticleDiabetologia2020

Age of obesity onset, cumulative obesity exposure over early adulthood and risk of type 2 diabetes.

Juhua Luo, Allison Hodge, Michael Hendryx, Julie E Byles

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Diabetologia, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 53 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
53citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
7.3field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

53 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 88 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  16. Epidemiology of Overweight and Obesity in Early Childhood in China and Associated Factors.Diabetes, metabolic syndrome and obesity : targets and therapy · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Juhua LuoDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Indiana University, 1025 E 7th Street, Bloomington, IN, 47405, USA. juhluo@indiana.edu.
Allison HodgeCancer Epidemiology Division, Cancer Council Victoria, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Michael HendryxDepartment of Environmental and Occupational Health, School of Public Health, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN, USA.
Julie E BylesResearch Centre for Generational Health and Ageing, University of Newcastle, Newcastle, NSW, Australia.
Indiana University Bloomington · USUniversity of Melbourne · AUUniversity of Newcastle Australia · AU

Funding

Translation CoreP30DK097512 · NIDDK · INDIANA UNIVERSITY INDIANAPOLIS · PI Carmella Evans-Molina · 2015 to 2026
$17.4M
NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK097512
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aims/hypothesisObesity is a risk factor for type 2 diabetes, yet little is known about how timing and cumulative exposure of obesity are related to disease risk. The aim of this study was to examine the associations between BMI trajectories, age of onset of obesity and obese-years (a product of degree and duration of obesity) over early adulthood and subsequent risk of type 2 diabetes.

methodsWomen aged 18-23 years at baseline (n = 11,192) enrolled in the Australian Longitudinal Study on Women's Health (ALSWH) in 1996 were followed up about every 3 years via surveys for up to 19 years. Self-reported weights were collected up to seven times. Incident type 2 diabetes was self-reported. A growth mixture model was used to identify distinct BMI trajectories over the early adult life course. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to examine the associations between trajectories and risk of diabetes.

resultsOne hundred and sixty-two (1.5%) women were newly diagnosed with type 2 diabetes during a mean of 16 years of follow-up. Six distinct BMI trajectories were identified, varying by different initial BMI and different slopes of increase. Initial BMI was positively associated with risk of diabetes. We also observed that age at onset of obesity was negatively associated with risk of diabetes (HR 0.87 [95% CI 0.79, 0.96] per 1 year increment), and number of obese-years was positively associated with diabetes (p for trend <0.0001). CONCLUSIONS/

interpretationOur data revealed the importance of timing of obesity, and cumulative exposure to obesity in the development of type 2 diabetes in young women, suggesting that preventing or delaying the onset of obesity and reducing cumulative exposure to obesity may substantially lower the risk of developing diabetes.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAge of OnsetAustraliaDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2FemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansLongitudinal StudiesObesityPediatric ObesityRisk FactorsYoung AdultAge of obesity onsetCumulative obesityDiabetesObese-yearsObesityType 2 diabetesWeight trajectory

Identifiers

PMID31858184
OpenAlexW2994876240

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.