Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31857943›Full record

ArticleJournal of the economics of ageing2019

The Long-Term Impact of Functional Disability on Hospitalization Spending in Singapore.

C Chen, J T Lim, N C Chia, L Wang, B Tysinger, J Zissimopolous, M Z Chong, Z Wang, G C Koh, J M Yuan and 10 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the economics of ageing, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT06753643 (Implementing the National Frailty Policy in Singapore's Primary Care), which is not on this map. Cited by 18 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed
5.0field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT06753643 not yet recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2025, after this paper: background citation

Implementing the National Frailty Policy in Singapore's Primary Care: A Pilot Feasibility Study of The Intrinsic Capacity ProMotion in PrimAry Care for The Frail Program (IMPACTFrail)

TypeobservationalSponsorGeriatric Education and Research InstituteRan2025 to 2026Enrolled180ConditionsHealthy Ageing, FrailtyArmsThe IMPACTFrail programme
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 46 citations in OpenAlex.

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  10. Dynamic changes and lifetime effect of functional disability profiles for stroke patients: real-world evidence from South Korea.Quality of life research : an international journal of quality of life aspects of treatment, care and rehabilitation · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

20 authors at 6 institutions in 2 countries.

C ChenSaw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore and National University Health System, Singapore.
J T LimSaw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore and National University Health System, Singapore.
N C ChiaDepartment of Economics, National University of Singapore, Singapore.
L WangSaw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore and National University Health System, Singapore.
B TysingerSchaeffer Center for Health Policy and Economics, University of Southern California, USA.
J ZissimopolousSchaeffer Center for Health Policy and Economics, University of Southern California, USA.
M Z ChongSaw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore and National University Health System, Singapore.
Z WangSaw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore and National University Health System, Singapore.
G C KohSaw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore and National University Health System, Singapore.
J M YuanDepartment of Epidemiology, Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.
K B TanSaw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore and National University Health System, Singapore.
K S ChiaSaw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore and National University Health System, Singapore.
A R CookSaw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore and National University Health System, Singapore.
R MalhotraHealth Services and Systems Research, Duke-NUS Medical School, Singapore.
A ChanHealth Services and Systems Research, Duke-NUS Medical School, Singapore.
S MaEpidemiology & Disease Control Division, Ministry of Health, Singapore.
T P NgYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore.
W P KohSaw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore and National University Health System, Singapore.
D P GoldmanSchaeffer Center for Health Policy and Economics, University of Southern California, USA.
J YoongCenter for Economic and Social Research, University of Southern California, USA.
National University of Singapore · SGUniversity of Southern California · USDuke-NUS Medical School · SGMinistry of Health · SGNational University Health System · SGUPMC Hillman Cancer Center · US

Funding

USC-Yale Roybal Center for Behavioral Interventions in AgingP30AG024968 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI JASON N. DOCTOR · 2004 to 2026
$14.7M
USC Resource Center for Minority Aging Research (US-RCMAR)P30AG043073 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI EMMA AGUILA, JENNIFER A AILSHIRE · 2012 to 2026
$10.1M
Prospective studies of cancer etiology and prevention in Shanghai and SingaporeR01CA144034 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI YUAN, JIAN-MIN · 2010 to 2014
$7.0M
THE SINGAPORE COHORT STUDY OF DIET AND CANCERR01CA080205 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI YUAN, JIAN-MIN · 1999 to 2009
$5.3M
Cancer epidemiology cohorts in Shanghai and Singapore UM1CA182876 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI YUAN, JIAN-MIN · 2014 to 2018
$4.3M
Reducing Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Alzheimer's Disease: Role of ACOsR01AG055401 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI ZISSIMOPOULOS, JULIE M · 2017 to 2019
$2.8M
Racial Disparities in the Health of Caregivers for Persons with Alzheimer's DiseaseR03AG054120 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI ZISSIMOPOULOS, JULIE M · 2016 to 2017
$165k
NCI NIH HHS R01 CA080205NCI NIH HHS R01 CA144034NCI NIH HHS UM1 CA182876NIA NIH HHS P30 AG024968NIA NIH HHS P30 AG043073NIA NIH HHS R01 AG055401NIA NIH HHS R03 AG054120
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Singapore is one of the fastest-aging populations due to increased life expectancy and lowered fertility. Lifestyle changes increase the burden of chronic diseases and disability. These have important implications for social protection systems. The goal of this paper is to model future functional disability and healthcare expenditures based on current trends. To project the health, disability and hospitalization spending of future elders, we adapted the Future Elderly Model (FEM) to Singapore. The FEM is a dynamic Markov microsimulation model developed in the US. Our main source of population data was the Singapore Chinese Health Study (SCHS) consisting of 63,000 respondents followed up over three waves from 1993 to 2010. The FEM model enables us to investigate the effects of disability compounded over the lifecycle and hospitalization spending, while adjusting for competing risk of multi-comorbidities. Results indicate that by 2050, 1 in 6 elders in Singapore will have at least one ADL disability and 1 in 3 elders will have at least one IADL disability, an increase from 1 in 12 elders and 1 in 5 elders respectively in 2014. The highest prevalence of functional disability will be in those aged 85 years and above. Lifetime hospitalization spending of elders aged 55 and above is US$24,400 (30.2%) higher among people with functional disability compared to those without disability. Policies that successfully tackle diabetes and promote healthy living may reduce or delay the onset of disability, leading to potential saving. In addition, further technological improvements may reduce the financial burden of disability.

Indexed as

AgeingDisabilityHospitalizationMicrosimulationSpending

Identifiers

PMID31857943
PMCPMC6922027
OpenAlexW2917734912

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.