ArticleBiology letters2019
The dynamics underlying avian extinction trajectories forecast a wave of extinctions.
Article in Biology letters, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
16 citing papers in PubMed, 51 citations in OpenAlex.
- Wild Bird Reproduction: Neuroendocrinology, Conservation Biology, and Environmental Threats.Advances in experimental medicine and biology · 2026Review
- Anthropocene Imperilment of Ancient Diversity and Evolutionary Potential in Terrestrial Vertebrates.Research square · 2025Article
- Threat reduction and targeted recovery are both essential.Nature ecology & evolution · 2025Article
- Threat reduction must be coupled with targeted recovery programmes to conserve global bird diversity.Nature ecology & evolution · 2025Article
- Article
- Global conservation status of the jawed vertebrate Tree of Life.Nature communications · 2024Article
- Urban tolerance does not protect against population decline in North American birds.Biology letters · 2024Article
- Undiscovered bird extinctions obscure the true magnitude of human-driven extinction waves.Nature communications · 2023Article
- Genetic Load and Adaptive Potential of a Recovered Avian Species that Narrowly Avoided Extinction.Molecular biology and evolution · 2023Article
- The EDGE2 protocol: Advancing the prioritisation of Evolutionarily Distinct and Globally Endangered species for practical conservation action.PLoS biology · 2023Article
- Integrated index-based assessment reveals long-term conservation progress in implementation of Convention on Biological Diversity.Science advances · 2022Article
- Revisiting species and areas of interest for conserving global mammalian phylogenetic diversity.Nature communications · 2021Article
- Dark extinction: the problem of unknown historical extinctions.Biology letters · 2021Article
- The past and future human impact on mammalian diversity.Science advances · 2020Article
- Roads as a contributor to landscape-scale variation in bird communities.Nature communications · 2020Article
- Set a global target for ecosystems.Nature · 2020Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
4 authors at 4 institutions in 4 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Population decline is a process, yet estimates of current extinction rates often consider just the final step of that process by counting numbers of species lost in historical times. This neglects the increased extinction risk that affects a large proportion of species, and consequently underestimates the effective extinction rate. Here, we model observed trajectories through IUCN Red List extinction risk categories for all bird species globally over 28 years, and estimate an overall effective extinction rate of 2.17 × 10
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.