Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31844981›Full record

ArticleJournal of neurology2020

Low sun exposure increases multiple sclerosis risk both directly and indirectly.

Anna Karin Hedström, Tomas Olsson, Ingrid Kockum, Jan Hillert, Lars Alfredsson

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of neurology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 34 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
34citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.2field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

34 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 46 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Opioid Signaling in Multiple Sclerosis: Emerging Targets for Repair.International journal of molecular sciences · 2026
    Review
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Review
  10. Review
  11. Impact of fish consumption on disability progression in multiple sclerosis.Journal of neurology, neurosurgery, and psychiatry · 2025
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Immune Modulatory Effects of Vitamin D on Herpesvirus Infections.International journal of molecular sciences · 2025
    Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Seasonal variation in sunlight exposure is differently associated with changes in T regulatory and T-helper 17 cell blood counts in adolescent and adults females: a pilot study.Photochemical & photobiological sciences : Official journal of the European Photochemistry Association and the European Society for Photobiology · 2025
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Anna Karin HedströmDepartment of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet, 17177, Stockholm, Sweden. anna.hedstrom@ki.se.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6612-4749
Tomas OlssonDepartment of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet, 17177, Stockholm, Sweden.
Ingrid KockumDepartment of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet, 17177, Stockholm, Sweden.
Jan HillertDepartment of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet, 17177, Stockholm, Sweden.
Lars AlfredssonInstitute of Environmental Medicine, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Karolinska Institutet · SEStockholm County Council · SE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveWe aimed to study (1) to what extent the influence of low sun exposure on multiple sclerosis (MS) risk is mediated by low vitamin D levels; (2) whether low sun exposure or vitamin D deficiency act synergistically with HLA-DRB1*15:01 and absence of HLA-A*02:01.

methodsWe used two population-based case-control studies (7069 cases, 6632 matched controls). Subjects with different HLA alleles, sun exposure habits and vitamin D status were compared regarding MS risk, by calculating odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) employing logistic regression. Mediation analysis was used to identify the potential mediation effect of vitamin D on the relationship between low sun exposure and MS risk.

resultsLow sun exposure increased MS risk directly as well as indirectly, by affecting vitamin D status. The direct effect, expressed as OR, was 1.26 (95% CI 1.04-1.45) and the indirect effect, mediated by vitamin D deficiency, was 1.10 (95% CI 1.02-1.23). Of the total effect, nearly 30% was mediated by vitamin D deficiency. There was a significant interaction between low sun exposure and vitamin D deficiency (attributable proportion due to interaction 0.3, 95% CI 0.04-0.5) accounting for about 12% of the total effect. Further, both factors interacted with HLA-DRB1*15:01 to increase MS risk.

interpretationOur findings indicate that low sun exposure acts both directly on MS risk as well as indirectly, by leading to low vitamin D levels. The protective effect of sun exposure thus seems to involve both vitamin D and non-vitamin D pathways, which is of relevance for prevention, in particular for those with a genetic susceptibility to MS.

Indexed as

Genetic Predisposition to DiseaseMultiple SclerosisSunlightVitamin D DeficiencyAdolescentAdultAgedCase-Control StudiesFemaleHabitsHLA-A2 AntigenHLA-DRB1 ChainsHumansHydroxycholecalciferolsMaleMiddle AgedHLA-A*02:01 antigenHLA-A2 AntigenHLA-DRB1*15:01 antigenHLA-DRB1 ChainsHydroxycholecalciferolsHuman leukocyte antigenInteractionMultiple sclerosisSun exposureVitamin D

Identifiers

PMID31844981
PMCPMC7109160
OpenAlexW2996228954

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.