Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31844682›Full record

ArticleNature sustainability2019

Cumulative environmental and employment impacts of the shale gas boom.

Erin N Mayfield, Jared L Cohon, Nicholas Z Muller, Inês M L Azevedo, Allen L Robinson

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature sustainability, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
3.1field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 59 citations in OpenAlex.

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  8. Progress in modeling dynamic systems for sustainable development.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Erin N MayfieldAndlinger Center for Energy and the Environment, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA.
Jared L CohonDepartment of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA, USA.
Nicholas Z MullerDepartment of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA, USA.
Inês M L AzevedoDepartment of Energy Resources Engineering, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
Allen L RobinsonDepartment of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA, USA.
Carnegie Mellon University · USPrinceton University · USStanford University · US

Funding

EPA R835873
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Natural gas has become the largest fuel source for electricity generation in the United States and accounts for a third of energy production and consumption. However, the environmental and socioeconomic impacts across the supply chain and over the boom-and-bust cycle have not been comprehensively characterized. To provide insight for long-term decision making for energy transitions, we estimate the cumulative impacts of the shale gas boom in the Appalachian basin from 2004 to 2016 on air quality, climate change, and employment. We find that air quality impacts (1200 to 4600 deaths; $23B +99%/-164%) and employment impacts (469,000 job-years ±30%; $21B ±30%) follow the boom-and-bust cycle, while climate impacts ($12B to $94B) persist for generations well beyond the period of natural gas activity. Employment effects concentrate in rural areas where production occurs. However, almost half of cumulative premature mortality due to air pollution is downwind of these areas, occurring in urban regions of the Northeast. The cumulative temperature impacts of methane and carbon dioxide over a 30-year time horizon are nearly equivalent, but over the long term, the cumulative climate impact is largely due to carbon dioxide. We estimate that a tax on production of $2 per thousand cubic foot (+172%/-76%) would compensate for cumulative climate and air quality externalities across the supply chain.

Identifiers

PMID31844682
PMCPMC6914251
OpenAlexW2985006796

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.