Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31844054›Full record

ArticleNature communications2019

Impacts of Zika emergence in Latin America on endemic dengue transmission.

Rebecca K Borchering, Angkana T Huang, Luis Mier-Y-Teran-Romero, Diana P Rojas, Isabel Rodriguez-Barraquer, Leah C Katzelnick, Silvio D Martinez, Gregory D King, Stephanie C Cinkovich, Justin Lessler and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 50 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
50citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
9.5field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

50 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 73 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Trends in dengue incidence and lethality: interrupted time series analysis, Brazil, 2001-2022.Epidemiologia e servicos de saude : revista do Sistema Unico de Saude do Brasil · 2025
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Sentinel Enhanced Dengue Surveillance System - Puerto Rico, 2012-2022.Morbidity and mortality weekly report. Surveillance summaries (Washington, D.C. : 2002) · 2024
    Article
  12. Identification and characterization of a nonbiological small-molecular mimic of a Zika virus conformational neutralizing epitope.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Epidemiologic Trends of Dengue in U.S. Territories, 2010-2020.Morbidity and mortality weekly report. Surveillance summaries (Washington, D.C. : 2002) · 2023
    Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Rebecca K BorcheringDepartment of Biology and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, 32610, USA. rebecca.borchering@uga.edu.
Angkana T HuangDepartment of Biology and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, 32610, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9857-3506
Luis Mier-Y-Teran-RomeroDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, 21205, USA.
Diana P RojasDepartment of Biostatistics, College of Public Health and Health Professions, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, 32610, USA.
Isabel Rodriguez-BarraquerDepartment of Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, 94143, USA.
Leah C KatzelnickDepartment of Biology and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, 32610, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1033-6758
Silvio D MartinezDepartment of Biology and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, 32610, USA.
Gregory D KingDepartment of Biology and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, 32610, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3670-040X
Stephanie C CinkovichDepartment of Biology and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, 32610, USA.
Justin LesslerDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, 21205, USA.
Derek A T CummingsDepartment of Biology and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, 32610, USA. datc@ufl.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9437-1907
University of Florida · USJohns Hopkins University · USUniversity of California, San Francisco · USUniversity of Georgia · US

Funding

Methods for Reducing Spatial Uncertainty and Bias in Disease SurveillanceR01AI102939 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI LESSLER, JUSTIN · 2013 to 2017
$4.6M
ACL HHS U01CK000510NCEZID CDC HHS U01 CK000510U.S. Department of Health & Human Services | National Institutes of Health (NIH) R01AI102939
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In 2015 and 2016, Zika virus (ZIKV) swept through dengue virus (DENV) endemic areas of Latin America. These viruses are of the same family, share a vector and may interact competitively or synergistically through human immune responses. We examine dengue incidence from Brazil and Colombia before, during, and after the Zika epidemic. We find evidence that dengue incidence was atypically low in 2017 in both countries. We investigate whether subnational Zika incidence is associated with changes in dengue incidence and find mixed results. Using simulations with multiple assumptions of interactions between DENV and ZIKV, we find cross-protection suppresses incidence of dengue following Zika outbreaks and low periods of dengue incidence are followed by resurgence. Our simulations suggest correlations in DENV and ZIKV reproduction numbers could complicate associations between ZIKV incidence and post-ZIKV DENV incidence and that periods of low dengue incidence are followed by large increases in dengue incidence.

Indexed as

Antibodies, ViralBrazilColombiaCross ReactionsDengueDengue VirusDisease OutbreaksEndemic DiseasesEpidemiological MonitoringHumansIncidenceModels, Spatial InteractionRegression AnalysisZika VirusZika Virus InfectionAntibodies, Viral

Identifiers

PMID31844054
PMCPMC6915707
OpenAlexW2996074995

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.