Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31843787›Full record

ArticleGut2020

Number needed to treat with ursodeoxycholic acid therapy to prevent liver transplantation or death in primary biliary cholangitis.

Maren H Harms, Rozanne C de Veer, Willem J Lammers, Christophe Corpechot, Douglas Thorburn, Harry L A Janssen, Keith D Lindor, Palak J Trivedi, Gideon M Hirschfield, Albert Pares and 11 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Gut, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed
3.0field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 42 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
  2. Current Treatment of Primary Biliary Cholangitis and Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis: A Comprehensive Review.The Turkish journal of gastroenterology : the official journal of Turkish Society of Gastroenterology · 2026
    Review
  3. New therapies for primary biliary cholangitis.Hepatology international · 2026
    Review
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Management of Primary Biliary Cholangitis: Current Treatment and Future Perspectives.The Turkish journal of gastroenterology : the official journal of Turkish Society of Gastroenterology · 2023
    Article
  11. Review
  12. Review
  13. TheCells · 2022
    Article
  14. Article
  15. [Progress on liver diseases in 2021].Zhonghua gan zang bing za zhi = Zhonghua ganzangbing zazhi = Chinese journal of hepatology · 2022
    Article
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

21 authors at 14 institutions in 8 countries.

Maren H HarmsDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Rozanne C de VeerDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Willem J LammersDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Christophe CorpechotService d'Hépatologie, Centre de Référence des Maladies Inflammatoires des Voies Biliaires, Hôpital Saint-Antoine, APHP, Paris, France.
Douglas ThorburnThe Sheila Sherlock Liver Centre and UCL Institute for Liver and Digestive Health, Royal Free Hospital, London, UK.
Harry L A JanssenToronto Centre for Liver Disease, Francis Family Liver Clinic, Toronto Western Hospital Liver Centre, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Keith D LindorCollege of Health Solutions, Arizona State University, Phoenix, Arizona, USA.
Palak J TrivediBirmingham NIHR Biomedical Research Centre and Centre for Liver Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
Gideon M HirschfieldToronto Centre for Liver Disease, Francis Family Liver Clinic, Toronto Western Hospital Liver Centre, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Albert ParesLiver Unit, Hospital Clínic, CIBERehd, IDIBAPS, University of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Annarosa FloreaniDepartment of Surgery, Oncology and Gastroenterology, Universita degli Studi di Padova, Padova, Italy.
Marlyn J MayoDigestive and Liver Diseases, UT Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas, USA.
Pietro InvernizziDivision of Gastroenterology and Program for Autoimmune Liver Diseases, International Center for Digestive Health, Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Milan-Bicocca, Monza, Italy.
Pier Maria BattezzatiDepartment of Health Sciences, University of Milan, Milano, Italy.
Frederik NevensDepartment of Hepatology, UZ Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.
Cyriel Y PonsioenDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology - location Academic Medical Center, Amsterdam University Medical Centres, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Andrew L MasonDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.
Kris V KowdleyLiver Care Network and Organ Care Research, Swedish Medical Center, Seattle, Washington, USA.
Bettina E HansenToronto Centre for Liver Disease, Francis Family Liver Clinic, Toronto Western Hospital Liver Centre, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Henk R van BuurenDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Adriaan J van der MeerDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands a.vandermeer@erasmusmc.nl.ORCID 0000-0003-1604-0931
Erasmus MC · NLToronto Western Hospital · CAUniversity of Milan · ITHospital Clínic de Barcelona · ESMayo Clinic · USNIHR Birmingham Liver Biomedical Research Unit · GBSorbonne Université · FRSouthwestern Medical Center · USSwedish Medical Center · USThe Royal Free Hospital · GBUniversitair Ziekenhuis Leuven · BEUniversity Medical Center · USUniversity of Alberta · CAUniversity of Padua · IT

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThe clinical benefit of ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) in primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) has never been reported in absolute measures. The aim of this study was to assess the number needed to treat (NNT) with UDCA to prevent liver transplantation (LT) or death among patients with PBC.

methodsThe NNT was calculated based on the untreated LT-free survival and HR of UDCA with respect to LT or death as derived from inverse probability of treatment weighting-adjusted Cox proportional hazard analyses within the Global PBC Study Group database.

resultsWe included 3902 patients with a median follow-up of 7.8 (4.1-12.1) years. The overall HR of UDCA was 0.46 (95% CI 0.40 to 0.52) and the 5-year LT-free survival without UDCA was 81% (95% CI 79 to 82). The NNT to prevent one LT or death within 5 years (NNT

conclusionThe absolute clinical efficacy of UDCA with respect to LT or death varied with baseline prognostic characteristics, but was high throughout. These findings strongly emphasise the incentive to promptly initiate UDCA treatment in all patients with PBC and may improve patient compliance.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAlkaline PhosphataseCholagogues and CholereticsChronic DiseaseDatabases, FactualFemaleHumansLiver CirrhosisLiver Cirrhosis, BiliaryLiver TransplantationMaleMiddle AgedNumbers Needed To TreatProportional Hazards ModelsSurvival RateAlkaline PhosphataseCholagogues and CholereticsUrsodeoxycholic Acidclinical decision makinghepatobiliary diseaseliverprimary biliary cirrhosis

Identifiers

PMID31843787
PMCPMC7398464
OpenAlexW2995022330

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.