Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31841709›Full record

ArticleBehaviour research and therapy2020

Latent variable mixture modelling and individual treatment prediction.

Rob Saunders, Joshua E J Buckman, Stephen Pilling

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Behaviour research and therapy, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 28 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
28citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

28 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. What Is Precision Psychotherapy?The Journal of medicine and philosophy · 2026
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  7. Biopsychosocial profiles following ACL reconstruction: A latent class analysis of barriers to return-to-activity.Physical therapy in sport : official journal of the Association of Chartered Physiotherapists in Sports Medicine · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Rob SaundersResearch Department of Clinical, Educational and Health Psychology, University College London, Gower Street, London, WC1E 7HB, UK.
Joshua E J BuckmanResearch Department of Clinical, Educational and Health Psychology, University College London, Gower Street, London, WC1E 7HB, UK.
Stephen PillingResearch Department of Clinical, Educational and Health Psychology, University College London, Gower Street, London, WC1E 7HB, UK. Electronic address: s.pilling@ucl.ac.uk.

Funding

Wellcome Trust 201292/Z/16/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Understanding which groups of patients are more or less likely to benefit from specific treatments has important implications for healthcare. Many personalised medicine approaches in mental health employ variable-centred approaches to predicting treatment response, yet person-centred approaches that identify clinical profiles of patients can provide information on the likelihood of a range of important outcomes. In this paper, we discuss the use of latent variable mixture modelling and demonstrate its use in the application of a patient profiling algorithm using routinely collected patient data to predict outcomes from psychological treatments. This validation study analysed data from two services, which included n = 44,905 patients entering treatment. There were different patterns of reliable recovery, improvement and clinical deterioration from therapy, across the eight profiles which were consistent over time. Outcomes varied between different types of therapy within the profiles: there were significantly higher odds of reliable recovery with High Intensity therapies in two profiles (32.5% of patients) and of reliable improvement in three profiles (32.2% of patients) compared with Low Intensity treatments. In three profiles (37.4% of patients) reliable recovery was significantly more likely if patients had CBT vs Counselling. The developments and potential application of latent variable mixture approaches are further discussed.

Indexed as

Models, TheoreticalPrecision MedicinePsychotherapyAdultAnxiety DisordersDepressive DisorderFemaleHumansMaleMental HealthMiddle AgedPrognosisTreatment OutcomeYoung AdultIAPTLatent profile analysisPrecision medicinePsychotherapyTreatment outcomes

Identifiers

PMID31841709
PMCPMC7417810

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.