ReviewScience advances2019
The polar regions in a 2°C warmer world.
Review in Science advances, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 108 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
108 citing papers in PubMed, 475 citations in OpenAlex.
- Rapid acceleration of ice-cover loss from Northern Hemisphere lakes above critical air temperature thresholds.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026Article
- Caribou balance winter range fidelity and plasticity in response to weather, pregnancy, and summer range conditions.Journal of mammalogy · 2026Article
- Canadian wildfires are losing their climate-cooling influence from postfire snow albedo.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026Article
- Allele frequency and gene expression differences under key winter stresses in temporal populations of two timothy cultivars.TAG. Theoretical and applied genetics. Theoretische und angewandte Genetik · 2026Article
- Occurrence and Diversity of Cyanotoxins and Retinoid Compounds in Antarctic Microbial Mats: Evidence From James Ross Island.Environmental microbiology reports · 2026Article
- Role of Atlantic multidecadal variability in modulating Arctic sea ice loss and wetting.Science advances · 2026Article
- Article
- Bipolar investigation of near-surface glacial ice reveals an active microbial ecosystem driven by photosynthesis and chemolithoautotrophy.ISME communications · 2026Article
- Temperature modulates infection-associated metabolic responses in bloom-forming freshwater diatoms.ISME communications · 2026Article
- Climate impacts from North American boreal forest fires.Nature geoscience · 2026Article
- Subpolar North Atlantic decadal cooling may have aggravated recent Eastern Siberian wildfires.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Experimental Warming Does Not Change Fluctuating Asymmetry in Three Willow Species.Ecology and evolution · 2025Article
- A Pilot Investigation of the Hidden Communities Associated With Dryas octopetala L. (Rosaceae) in Svalbard Using DNA Metabarcoding.Environmental microbiology reports · 2025Article
- Projecting the future of a threatened marine mammal in relation to climate warming.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2025Article
- Low temperatures reduce establishment of new populations of invasive plants in a subarctic treeline environment.Oecologia · 2025Article
- Mismatch in reindeer resilience to past and future warming signals ongoing declines.Science advances · 2025Article
- Svalbard winter warming is reaching melting point.Nature communications · 2025Article
- PAVC: The foundation for a Pan-Arctic Vegetation Cover database.Scientific data · 2025Article
- Arctic Ocean virus communities and their seasonality, bipolarity, and prokaryotic associations.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Bird migration on the edge: Experimental manipulation of corticosterone advances departure dates.Ecology · 2025Article
48 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
15 authors at 12 institutions in 5 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Over the past decade, the Arctic has warmed by 0.75°C, far outpacing the global average, while Antarctic temperatures have remained comparatively stable. As Earth approaches 2°C warming, the Arctic and Antarctic may reach 4°C and 2°C mean annual warming, and 7°C and 3°C winter warming, respectively. Expected consequences of increased Arctic warming include ongoing loss of land and sea ice, threats to wildlife and traditional human livelihoods, increased methane emissions, and extreme weather at lower latitudes. With low biodiversity, Antarctic ecosystems may be vulnerable to state shifts and species invasions. Land ice loss in both regions will contribute substantially to global sea level rise, with up to 3 m rise possible if certain thresholds are crossed. Mitigation efforts can slow or reduce warming, but without them northern high latitude warming may accelerate in the next two to four decades. International cooperation will be crucial to foreseeing and adapting to expected changes.
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.