Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31837238›Full record

ArticleHepatology (Baltimore, Md.)2020

Ordinal Outcomes Are Superior to Binary Outcomes for Designing and Evaluating Clinical Trials in Compensated Cirrhosis.

Gennaro D'Amico, Juan G Abraldes, Paola Rebora, Maria Grazia Valsecchi, Guadalupe Garcia-Tsao

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Hepatology (Baltimore, Md.), 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. A roadmap for clinical trials in MASH-related compensated cirrhosis.Nature reviews. Gastroenterology & hepatology · 2024
    Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Combined analysis of gut microbiota, diet and PNPLA3 polymorphism in biopsy-proven non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver · 2021
    Article
  8. Article
  9. [Methodological considerations in the design of clinical trial for innovative hepatitis B drugs].Zhonghua gan zang bing za zhi = Zhonghua ganzangbing zazhi = Chinese journal of hepatology · 2020
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Gennaro D'AmicoGastroenterology Unit, Ospedale V. Cervello, Clinica La Maddalena, Palermo, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-0430-1786
Juan G AbraldesDivision of Gastroenterology (Liver Unit), Department of Medicine, CEGIIR, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, Canada.
Paola ReboraDipartimento di Medicina e Chirurgia, Università di Milano-Bicocca, Milano, Italy.
Maria Grazia ValsecchiDipartimento di Medicina e Chirurgia, Università di Milano-Bicocca, Milano, Italy.
Guadalupe Garcia-TsaoSection of Digestive Diseases, Yale University School of Medicine/VA-CT Healthcare System, New Haven, CT.

Funding

Yale Liver CenterP30DK034989 · NIDDK · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI YASUKO IWAKIRI · 1986 to 2026
$31.1M
NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK034989NIH HHS P30 DK34989 (Dr Guadalupe Garcia-Tsao)
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsPrevention of decompensation is a primary therapeutic target in patients with compensated cirrhosis (CC). However, a major problem is the large sample size and long follow-up required to demonstrate a significant treatment effect because of the relatively low baseline risk. For this reason, it has been recently suggested that ordinal outcomes may be used in this area to gain power and reduce sample size. The aim of this study was to assess the applicability of ordinal outcomes in cirrhosis. APPROACH AND

resultsAn inception cohort of 202 patients with CC (no ascites, gastrointestinal bleeding, encephalopathy, or jaundice) without esophageal varices was included, and 5-year outcome is reported. Etiology was mostly viral and alcoholic, and there were no dropouts. Ordinal outcome was set according to six grades with a previously established prognostic ordinality: grade 1 = no disease progression; grade 2 = development of varices; grade 3 = bleeding alone; grade 4 = nonbleeding single decompensation; grade 5 = more than one decompensating event; and grade 6 = death. At the 60-month time point, patients were distributed in grades 1 through 6 as follows: 129, 43, 2, 7, 5, and 16, respectively. Emulation of a clinical trial performed by dividing patients based on baseline platelet count into two groups (cutoff, 150 × 10

conclusionsCompared to traditional binary outcomes, the use of ordinal outcomes in trials of cirrhosis decompensation may provide more power and thus may require a smaller sample size.

Indexed as

Esophageal and Gastric VaricesGastrointestinal HemorrhageLiver CirrhosisOutcome Assessment, Health CareAlcoholismChi-Square DistributionClinical Trials as TopicDisease ProgressionEndpoint DeterminationHumansPlatelet CountPrognosisResearch DesignRisk AssessmentVirus Diseases

Identifiers

PMID31837238
PMCPMC11090179

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.