Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31836636›Full record

ArticleArchives of disease in childhood2020

Measurement error, microcephaly prevalence and implications for Zika: an analysis of Uruguay perinatal data.

Emily W Harville, Pierre M Buekens, Maria Luisa Cafferata, Suzanne Gilboa, Giselle Tomasso, Van Tong

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Archives of disease in childhood, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
1.3field-weighted citation impact, top 18% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 10 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Emily W HarvilleDepartment of Epidemiology, Tulane School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, Tulane University, New Orleans, Louisiana, USA eharvill@tulane.edu.ORCID 0000-0003-0319-0922
Pierre M BuekensDepartment of Epidemiology, Tulane School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, Tulane University, New Orleans, Louisiana, USA.
Maria Luisa CafferataInstitute for Clinical Effectiveness and Health Policy, Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Suzanne GilboaDivision of Congenital and Developmental Disorders, National Center on Birth Defects and Developmental Disabilities, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Giselle TomassoClinical and Epidemiological Research Unit, Montevideo, Uruguay.
Van TongDivision of Congenital and Developmental Disorders, National Center on Birth Defects and Developmental Disabilities, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention · USTulane University · USInstituto de Efectividad Clínica y Sanitaria · AR

Funding

Intramural CDC HHS CC999999
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

objectiveThe Zika virus outbreak has drawn attention to microcephaly, whose definition is based on head circumference measuring below a percentile or number of SDs below the mean. The objective of this analysis was to assess how differences in measurement precision might affect prevalence and trends of microcephaly.

methodsData from all births in Uruguay during 2010-2015 were obtained from the Perinatal Information System. The prevalence of births with microcephaly was calculated based on head circumference measurement at birth applying the INTERGROWTH-21

resultsRounding and digit preference was observed: 74% of head circumference measurements were reported as a whole centimetre value. The prevalence of births varied substantially by the criterion used to define microcephaly (<3 SD, <2 SD, <3rd percentile for gestational age) and could be halved or doubled based on adding or subtracting a half-centimetre from all reported head circumference measurements. If 4 days were added to gestational age calculations, rather than using completed gestational weeks (without days) for gestational age reporting, the prevalence was 1.7-2 times higher. DISCUSSION: Rounding in measurement of head circumference and reporting preferences of gestational age may have contributed to a lower prevalence of microcephaly than expected in this population. Differences in head circumference measurement protocols and gestational age dating have the potential to affect the prevalence of babies reported with microcephaly, and this limitation should be acknowledged when interpreting head circumference data collected for surveillance.

Indexed as

CephalometryDimensional Measurement AccuracyHumansInfant, NewbornMicrocephalyPrevalenceUruguayZika Virus Infectionbiasgestational agehead circumferencemicrocephalyZika virus infection

Identifiers

PMID31836636
PMCPMC7450538
OpenAlexW2996370249

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.