Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31830250›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of infectious diseases2020

The Epidemiology of Herpes Zoster in Immunocompetent, Unvaccinated Adults ≥50 Years Old: Incidence, Complications, Hospitalization, Mortality, and Recurrence.

Hung Fu Tseng, Katia Bruxvoort, Bradley Ackerson, Yi Luo, Hilary Tanenbaum, Yun Tian, Chengyi Zheng, Bianca Cheung, Brandon J Patterson, Desiree Van Oorschot and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of infectious diseases, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 63 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
63citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

63 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  6. Varicella zoster virus and the central nervous system.Nature reviews. Microbiology · 2026
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  11. [StagingZhong nan da xue xue bao. Yi xue ban = Journal of Central South University. Medical sciences · 2026
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3 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Hung Fu TsengDepartment of Research and Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, USA.
Katia BruxvoortDepartment of Research and Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, USA.
Bradley AckersonDepartment of Research and Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, USA.
Yi LuoDepartment of Research and Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, USA.
Hilary TanenbaumDepartment of Research and Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, USA.
Yun TianDepartment of Research and Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, USA.
Chengyi ZhengDepartment of Research and Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, USA.
Bianca CheungDepartment of Research and Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, USA.
Brandon J PattersonHealth Outcomes and Epidemiology, GSK, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA.
Desiree Van OorschotHealth Economics, GSK, Wavre, Belgium.
Lina S SyDepartment of Research and Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundData on the epidemiology of herpes zoster (HZ), particularly in the unvaccinated immunocompetent population, are needed to assess disease burden and the potential impact of vaccination.

methodsThe study at a large health care organization comprised: (1) incidence estimated from immunocompetent adults aged ≥50 years unvaccinated with zoster vaccine live who had incident HZ in 2011-2015; (2) proportion of HZ-related nonpain complications assessed by double abstraction of electronic health records (EHRs) of 600 incident patients 2011-2015; (3) HZ-related hospitalizations among HZ patients diagnosed in 2015; (4) HZ-related death determined from automated data and EHRs; and (5) recurrent HZ identified from a cohort initially diagnosed with HZ in 2007-2008 and followed through 2016.

resultsHZ incidence rate was 9.92/1000 person-years (95% confidence interval [CI], 9.82-10.01). Proportions of cutaneous, neurologic, and other complications were 6.40% (95% CI,1.73%-11.07%), 0.77% (95% CI, .00%-2.36%), and 1.01% (95% CI, .00%-2.93%), respectively. Only 0.86% of patients had an HZ-related hospitalization. The case-fatality rate was 0.04%. Recurrence rate was 10.96/1000 person-years (95% CI, 10.18-11.79) with 10-year recurrence risk of 10.26% (95% CI, 9.36%-11.23%).

conclusionsThese recent HZ epidemiology data among an immunocompetent, unvaccinated population measure real-world disease burden.

Indexed as

RecurrenceAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsCaliforniaHerpes ZosterHospitalizationHumansImmunocompetenceIncidenceMiddle AgedNervous System DiseasesSkin DiseasesVaccinationcomplicationsepidemiologyherpes zosterhospitalizationincidencemortalityolder adultsrecurrence

Identifiers

PMID31830250
PMCPMC7399704

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.