Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31829152›Full record

ArticleBMC psychiatry2019

Possibilities for the future of global mental health: a scenario planning approach.

Stefan Priebe, Álvaro Arenas Borrero, Victoria Bird, Alma Džubur Kulenoviĉ, Domenico Giacco, Carlos Gómez Restrepo, Fahmy Hanna, Sandrasagary Jayacodi, Seggane Musisi, Craig Morgan and 5 more

Abstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in BMC psychiatry, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Bridging the Gap: Scenario Planning for Science and Technology in Breast Cancer.Medical journal of the Islamic Republic of Iran · 2025
    Article
  3. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Stefan PriebeUnit for Social and Community Psychiatry (WHO Collaborating Centre for Mental Health Services Development), Newham Centre for Mental Health, Queen Mary University of London, E13 8SP, London, UK. s.priebe@qmul.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0001-9864-3394
Álvaro Arenas BorreroDepartment of Social and Preventive Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Javeriana, Bogotá, Colombia.
Victoria BirdUnit for Social and Community Psychiatry (WHO Collaborating Centre for Mental Health Services Development), Newham Centre for Mental Health, Queen Mary University of London, E13 8SP, London, UK.
Alma Džubur KulenoviĉClinical Center University of Sarajevo, Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina.
Domenico GiaccoUnit for Social and Community Psychiatry (WHO Collaborating Centre for Mental Health Services Development), Newham Centre for Mental Health, Queen Mary University of London, E13 8SP, London, UK.
Carlos Gómez RestrepoDepartment of Social and Preventive Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Javeriana, Bogotá, Colombia.
Fahmy HannaWHO Department of Mental Health and Substance Abuse, Geneva, Switzerland.
Sandrasagary JayacodiEast London NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.
Seggane MusisiSchool of Medicine, Makerere University College of Health Sciences, Kampala, Uganda.
Craig MorganInstitute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK.
Noeline NakasujjaSchool of Medicine, Makerere University College of Health Sciences, Kampala, Uganda.
Alina SabitovaUnit for Social and Community Psychiatry (WHO Collaborating Centre for Mental Health Services Development), Newham Centre for Mental Health, Queen Mary University of London, E13 8SP, London, UK.
Stephen SandfordEast London NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.
Nelson SewankamboSchool of Medicine, Makerere University College of Health Sciences, Kampala, Uganda.
José Miguel Uribe RestrepoDepartment of Social and Preventive Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Javeriana, Bogotá, Colombia.

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/P025927/1National Institute for Health Research GHR 16/137/97
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundGlobal mental health is a widely used term describing initiatives in policies, research and practice to improve the mental health of people worldwide. It has been gaining momentum over the last 10 years, reflected in increasing funding opportunities, training programmes, and publications. In light of the rising importance of global mental health and the various uncertainties about its future directions, this paper explores what the future may hold for global mental health in 30 years' time.

methodA scenario planning method was used, involving a workshop with experts from four continents and a range of backgrounds, including clinical and academic psychiatry, psychology, art and music therapy, service user advisory role, funder of global health research and post-graduate students.

resultsSix distinct scenarios that describe potential future situations were developed: universal standards for care; worldwide coordination of research; making use of diversity; focus on social factors; globalised care through technology; mental health as a currency in global politics.

conclusionsThese scenarios consider different social, economic, scientific and technological drivers and focus on distinct aspects. Some reflect a global application of possible trends in mental health, whilst others apply general global developments to mental health care. They are not fixed forecasts, but instead may help to promote discussion and debate about further developments and decisions.

Indexed as

ForecastingGlobal HealthHealth Planning GuidelinesMental HealthHumansFuture scenariosGlobal health researchGlobal mental healthScenario planning

Identifiers

PMID31829152
PMCPMC6907341

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.