Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31805043›Full record

ArticlePloS one2019

Assessing the performance of genome-wide association studies for predicting disease risk.

Jonas Patron, Arnau Serra-Cayuela, Beomsoo Han, Carin Li, David Scott Wishart

Abstract readComparative StudyValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 30 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
30citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

30 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  13. Beyond Genes: Germline Disruption in the Etiology of Autism Spectrum Disorders.Journal of autism and developmental disorders · 2022
    Article
  14. Article
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  16. Deciphering Pleiotropic Signatures of Regulatory SNPs inInternational journal of molecular sciences · 2022
    Article
  17. Review
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  20. Towards population-scale long-read sequencing.Nature reviews. Genetics · 2021
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Jonas PatronDepartment of Biological Sciences, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Canada.
Arnau Serra-CayuelaDepartment of Biological Sciences, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Canada.
Beomsoo HanDepartment of Biological Sciences, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Canada.
Carin LiDepartment of Biological Sciences, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-9128-5029
David Scott WishartDepartment of Biological Sciences, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-3207-2434

Funding

CIHR
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

To date more than 3700 genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have been published that look at the genetic contributions of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) to human conditions or human phenotypes. Through these studies many highly significant SNPs have been identified for hundreds of diseases or medical conditions. However, the extent to which GWAS-identified SNPs or combinations of SNP biomarkers can predict disease risk is not well known. One of the most commonly used approaches to assess the performance of predictive biomarkers is to determine the area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve (AUROC). We have developed an R package called G-WIZ to generate ROC curves and calculate the AUROC using summary-level GWAS data. We first tested the performance of G-WIZ by using AUROC values derived from patient-level SNP data, as well as literature-reported AUROC values. We found that G-WIZ predicts the AUROC with <3% error. Next, we used the summary level GWAS data from GWAS Central to determine the ROC curves and AUROC values for 569 different GWA studies spanning 219 different conditions. Using these data we found a small number of GWA studies with SNP-derived risk predictors that have very high AUROCs (>0.75). On the other hand, the average GWA study produces a multi-SNP risk predictor with an AUROC of 0.55. Detailed AUROC comparisons indicate that most SNP-derived risk predictions are not as good as clinically based disease risk predictors. All our calculations (ROC curves, AUROCs, explained heritability) are in a publicly accessible database called GWAS-ROCS (http://gwasrocs.ca). The G-WIZ code is freely available for download at https://github.com/jonaspatronjp/GWIZ-Rscript/.

Indexed as

Genetic Predisposition to DiseaseGenome-Wide Association StudyROC CurveSoftwareDatabases, GeneticHumansInheritance PatternsModels, StatisticalPolymorphism, Single NucleotidePredictive Value of TestsRisk AssessmentRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID31805043
PMCPMC6894795

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.