Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31801571›Full record

ArticleJournal of translational medicine2019

Triglyceride is an independent predictor of type 2 diabetes among middle-aged and older adults: a prospective study with 8-year follow-ups in two cohorts.

Jing Zhao, Yuan Zhang, Fengjiang Wei, Jiani Song, Zhi Cao, Chen Chen, Kai Zhang, Shuzhi Feng, Yaogang Wang, Wei-Dong Li

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of translational medicine, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 59 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
59citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

59 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  8. Triglycerides, Glucose Metabolism, and Type 2 Diabetes.International journal of molecular sciences · 2025
    Review
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  10. Observational
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  16. Cgref1 is a CREB-H-regulated hepatokine that promotes hepaticInternational journal of biological sciences · 2025
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  17. Assessment of ImmobilizedFoods (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Jing ZhaoDepartment of Genetics, College of Basic Medical Sciences, Tianjin Medical University, 22 Qixiangtai Road, Heping District, Tianjin, 300070, People's Republic of China.
Yuan ZhangDepartment of Genetics, College of Basic Medical Sciences, Tianjin Medical University, 22 Qixiangtai Road, Heping District, Tianjin, 300070, People's Republic of China.
Fengjiang WeiDepartment of Genetics, College of Basic Medical Sciences, Tianjin Medical University, 22 Qixiangtai Road, Heping District, Tianjin, 300070, People's Republic of China.
Jiani SongDepartment of Genetics, College of Basic Medical Sciences, Tianjin Medical University, 22 Qixiangtai Road, Heping District, Tianjin, 300070, People's Republic of China.
Zhi CaoCollege of Public Health, Tianjin Medical University, 22 Qixiangtai Road, Heping District, Tianjin, 300070, People's Republic of China.
Chen ChenTianjin General Hospital, Tianjin Medical University, 154 Anshan Road, Tianjin, 300052, People's Republic of China.
Kai ZhangTianjin General Hospital, Tianjin Medical University, 154 Anshan Road, Tianjin, 300052, People's Republic of China.
Shuzhi FengTianjin General Hospital, Tianjin Medical University, 154 Anshan Road, Tianjin, 300052, People's Republic of China. shuzhifeng@hotmail.com.
Yaogang WangCollege of Public Health, Tianjin Medical University, 22 Qixiangtai Road, Heping District, Tianjin, 300070, People's Republic of China. wyg@tmu.edu.cn.
Wei-Dong LiDepartment of Genetics, College of Basic Medical Sciences, Tianjin Medical University, 22 Qixiangtai Road, Heping District, Tianjin, 300070, People's Republic of China. liweidong98@tmu.edu.cn.ORCID 0000-0003-0521-7412

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAlthough there is abundant evidence indicating the connection between triglyceride and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), few reports or cohort studies confirm that high TG concentration may predict the incidence of T2DM independently. Thus, we studied the association between triglyceride (TG) and T2DM in a male-dominated, middle and older aged cohort, Tianjin General Hospital Cohort. And we further verified our results in the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS).

methodsWe conducted an 8-year retrospective cohort study (2009-2017) with 7241 participants who were free from T2DM at baseline. Three groups were constructed based on baseline TG levels (normal, borderline-high, and high). We used a Cox proportional hazards model to evaluate the relationship between TG and T2DM after adjusting for possible risk factors. A Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was performed to compare the incidence of T2DM among subjects in each TG group. We also tested the association between TG and T2DM in the CHARLS cohort.

resultsIn Tianjin General Hospital Cohort, 7241 participants (male 75.8%, female 24.2%) were included, mean age was 61.49 ± 13.85 years at baseline. The cumulative incidence of T2DM in our cohort study was 8.6% (9.2% in men and 6.6% in women). Compared with the normal TG group, the hazard ratios in the borderline and high group were 1.30 (95% CI 1.04-1.62) and 1.54 (95% CI 1.24-1.90). The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis indicated that higher TG levels may predict higher onset of T2DM. These results were verified in the CHARLS cohort, the hazard ratio with T2DM (95% CI) for logTG was 3.94 (2.64-5.87).

conclusionsOur findings suggest that the TG level may be an independent risk factor and predictor for T2DM.

Indexed as

AgedChinaDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2FemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansIncidenceKaplan-Meier EstimateMaleMiddle AgedProportional Hazards ModelsProspective StudiesTriglyceridesTriglyceridesDynamic cohort studySurvival analysisTriglycerideType 2 diabetes mellitus

Identifiers

PMID31801571
PMCPMC6894231

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.