ArticleNature communications2019
Epidemic dynamics of respiratory syncytial virus in current and future climates.
Article in Nature communications, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 103 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
103 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Determining the timing of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) epidemics: a systematic review, 2016 to 2021; method categorisation and identification of influencing factors.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2024Pooled it
- Mathematical modelling of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) in low- and middle-income countries: A systematic review.Epidemics · 2021Pooled it
- A phase I study to evaluate safety, pharmacokinetics, and pharmacodynamics of respiratory syncytial virus neutralizing monoclonal antibody MK-1654 in healthy Japanese adults.Clinical and translational science · 2022Trial
- Delayed introduction, transmission variation and susceptible dynamics explain spatial asynchrony during Republic of Korea's large pertussis outbreak.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2026Article
- Observational
- Subnational Heterogeneity in Respiratory Syncytial Virus Seasonality in Tropical Colombia, 2022-2024.Open forum infectious diseases · 2026Article
- Climate-Aware Self-Retrospective Representation Learning for Spatio-Temporal Epidemic Forecasting.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2026Article
- The limitations of non-mechanistic methods for characterizing pathogen-pathogen interactions: A simulation study.PLoS computational biology · 2026Article
- Time-Multiplexed Organic Electrochemical Transistor for Saliva-Based Rapid Detection of Viral Proteins.Advanced science (Weinheim, Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany) · 2026Article
- Diagnosis of Respiratory Infections Using Syndromic Panels: A Ct-Based Approach Beyond Qualitative Detection.Microorganisms · 2026Article
- Unified climate factors predict influenza outbreak seasonality across tropical and temperate regions.PNAS nexus · 2026Article
- Genomic surveillance of a deeply sampled local population reveals age-specific drivers of RSV transmission.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026Article
- Climate change and infectious diseases.Nature medicine · 2026Review
- Toward AI foundation models for epidemics: Promise, challenges, and paths forward.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026Article
- Article
- Respiratory virus dynamics in a tropical region: Insights from Yucatán, México (2018-2024).Epidemiology and infection · 2026Article
- Epidemiology and lagged climatic drivers of pediatric viral lower respiratory tract infections in Tianjin, China (2023-2025).Frontiers in cellular and infection microbiology · 2026Article
- Article
- Interplay between climate and childhood mixing can explain a sudden shift in RSV seasonality in Japan.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Article
43 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
9 authors.
Funding
Abstract
A key question for infectious disease dynamics is the impact of the climate on future burden. Here, we evaluate the climate drivers of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), an important determinant of disease in young children. We combine a dataset of county-level observations from the US with state-level observations from Mexico, spanning much of the global range of climatological conditions. Using a combination of nonlinear epidemic models with statistical techniques, we find consistent patterns of climate drivers at a continental scale explaining latitudinal differences in the dynamics and timing of local epidemics. Strikingly, estimated effects of precipitation and humidity on transmission mirror prior results for influenza. We couple our model with projections for future climate, to show that temperature-driven increases to humidity may lead to a northward shift in the dynamic patterns observed and that the likelihood of severe outbreaks of RSV hinges on projections for extreme rainfall.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.