Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31796152›Full record

ArticleEuro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin2019

Low 2018/19 vaccine effectiveness against influenza A(H3N2) among 15-64-year-olds in Europe: exploration by birth cohort.

Esther Kissling, Francisco Pozo, Silke Buda, Ana-Maria Vilcu, Alin Gherasim, Mia Brytting, Lisa Domegan, Verónica Gómez, Adam Meijer, Mihaela Lazar and 13 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 40 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
40citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

40 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Influenza vaccine outcomes: a meta-analysis revealing morbidity benefits amid low infection prevention.European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2025
    Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Trial
  4. Review
  5. Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness in Australia During 2017-2019.Influenza and other respiratory viruses · 2025
    Article
  6. Influenza vaccine effectiveness in Europe and the birth cohort effect against influenza A(H1N1)pdm09: VEBIS primary care multicentre study, 2023/24.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2025
    Article
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  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
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  16. Respiratory viruses: New frontiers-a Keystone Symposia report.Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences · 2023
    Article
  17. Vaccine effectiveness estimates from an early-season influenza A(H3N2) epidemic, including unique genetic diversity with reassortment, Canada, 2022/23.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2023
    Article
  18. Article
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  20. Influenza vaccine effectiveness against A(H3N2) during the delayed 2021/22 epidemic in Canada.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2022
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

23 authors.

Esther KisslingEpidemiology Department, Epiconcept, Paris, France.
Francisco PozoNational Centre for Microbiology, National Influenza Reference Laboratory, WHO-National Influenza Centre, Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.
Silke BudaRobert Koch Institute, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Respiratory Infections Unit, Berlin, Germany.
Ana-Maria VilcuSorbonne Université, INSERM, Institut Pierre Louis d'épidémiologie et de Santé Publique (IPLESP UMRS 1136), Paris, France.
Alin GherasimNational Epidemiology Centre, Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.
Mia BryttingPublic Health Agency of Sweden, Stockholm, Sweden.
Lisa DomeganHealth Service Executive- Health Protection Surveillance Centre, Dublin, Ireland.
Verónica GómezDepartamento de Epidemiologia, Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr. Ricardo Jorge, Lisbon, Portugal.
Adam MeijerNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
Mihaela Lazar"Cantacuzino" National Military-Medical Institute for Research and Development, Bucharest, Romania.
Vesna Višekruna VučinaCroatian Institute of Public Health, Division for epidemiology of communicable diseases, Zagreb, Croatia.
Ralf DürrwaldRobert Koch Institute, National Reference Center for Influenza, Germany.
Sylvie van der WerfUnité de Génétique Moléculaire des Virus à ARN, Institut Pasteur, CNRS UMR3569, Université Paris Diderot SPC, France.
Amparo LarrauriNational Epidemiology Centre, Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.
Theresa EnkirchPublic Health Agency of Sweden, Stockholm, Sweden.
Joan O'DonnellHealth Service Executive- Health Protection Surveillance Centre, Dublin, Ireland.
Raquel GuiomarDepartamento de Doenças Infeciosas, Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr. Ricardo Jorge, Lisbon, Portugal.
Mariëtte HooiveldNivel (Netherlands Institute for Health Services Research), Utrecht, the Netherlands.
Goranka PetrovićCroatian Institute of Public Health, Division for epidemiology of communicable diseases, Zagreb, Croatia.
Elena Stoian"Cantacuzino" National Military-Medical Institute for Research and Development, Bucharest, Romania.
Pasi PenttinenEuropean Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), Stockholm, Sweden.
Marta ValencianoEpidemiology Department, Epiconcept, Paris, France.
I-MOVE primary care study teamThe I-MOVE primary care study team members are listed at the end of the article.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

IntroductionInfluenza A(H3N2) clades 3C.2a and 3C.3a co-circulated in Europe in 2018/19. Immunological imprinting by first childhood influenza infection may induce future birth cohort differences in vaccine effectiveness (VE).AimThe I-MOVE multicentre primary care test-negative study assessed 2018/19 influenza A(H3N2) VE by age and genetic subgroups to explore VE by birth cohort.MethodsWe measured VE against influenza A(H3N2) and (sub)clades. We stratified VE by usual age groups (0-14, 15-64, ≥ 65-years). To assess the imprint-regulated effect of vaccine (I-REV) hypothesis, we further stratified the middle-aged group, notably including 32-54-year-olds (1964-86) sharing potential childhood imprinting to serine at haemagglutinin position 159.ResultsInfluenza A(H3N2) VE among all ages was -1% (95% confidence interval (CI): -24 to 18) and 46% (95% CI: 8-68), -26% (95% CI: -66 to 4) and 20% (95% CI: -20 to 46) among 0-14, 15-64 and ≥ 65-year-olds, respectively. Among 15-64-year-olds, VE against clades 3C.2a1b and 3C.3a was 15% (95% CI: -34 to 50) and -74% (95% CI: -259 to 16), respectively. VE was -18% (95% CI: -140 to 41), -53% (95% CI: -131 to -2) and -12% (95% CI: -74 to 28) among 15-31-year-olds (1987-2003), 32-54-year-olds (1964-86) and 55-64-year-olds (1954-63), respectively.DiscussionThe lowest 2018/19 influenza A(H3N2) VE was against clade 3C.3a and among those born 1964-86, corresponding to the I-REV hypothesis. The low influenza A(H3N2) VE in 15-64-year-olds and the public health impact of the I-REV hypothesis warrant further study.

Indexed as

Vaccine PotencyAdolescentAdultAgedAge FactorsEuropeFemaleHemagglutinin Glycoproteins, Influenza VirusHumansImmunologic MemoryInfluenza A Virus, H3N2 SubtypeInfluenza, HumanInfluenza VaccinesMaleMiddle AgedPopulation SurveillanceHemagglutinin Glycoproteins, Influenza VirusInfluenza VaccinesA(H3N2)birth cohortsimprintinginfluenzamulticentre studyvaccine effectiveness

Identifiers

PMID31796152
PMCPMC6891946

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.