Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31789381›Full record

ArticleSleep2020

Network outcome analysis identifies difficulty initiating sleep as a primary target for prevention of depression: a 6-year prospective study.

Tessa F Blanken, Denny Borsboom, Brenda Wjh Penninx, Eus Jw Van Someren

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Sleep, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 37 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
37citing papers in PubMed
7.9field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

37 citing papers in PubMed, 101 citations in OpenAlex.

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  17. Perturbation graphs, invariant causal prediction and causal relations in psychology.The British journal of mathematical and statistical psychology · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Tessa F BlankenDepartment of Sleep and Cognition, Netherlands Institute for Neuroscience, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Denny BorsboomDepartment of Psychological Methods, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Brenda Wjh PenninxDepartment of Psychiatry, Amsterdam Public Health Research Institute and Amsterdam Neuroscience Research Institute, Amsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Eus Jw Van SomerenDepartment of Sleep and Cognition, Netherlands Institute for Neuroscience, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam · NLNetherlands Institute for Neuroscience · NLUniversity of Amsterdam · NL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

STUDY

objectivesMajor depressive disorder (MDD) is the leading cause of disability worldwide. Its high recurrence rate calls for prevention of first-onset MDD. Although meta-analysis suggested insomnia as the strongest modifiable risk factor, previous studies insufficiently addressed that insomnia might also occur as a residual symptom of unassessed prior depression, or as a comorbid complaint secondary to other depression risks.

methodsIn total, 768 participants from the Netherlands Study of Depression and Anxiety who were free from current and lifetime MDD were followed-up for four repeated assessments, spanning 6 years in total. We performed separate Cox proportional hazard analyses to evaluate whether baseline insomnia severity, short-sleep duration, and individual insomnia complaints prospectively predicted first-onset MDD during follow-up. The novel method of network outcome analysis (NOA) allowed us to sort out whether there is any direct predictive value of individual insomnia complaints among several other complaints that are associated with insomnia.

resultsOver 6-year follow-up, 141 (18.4%) were diagnosed with first-onset MDD. Insomnia severity but not sleep duration predicted first-onset MDD (HR = 1.11, 95% CI: 1.07-1.15), and this was driven solely by the insomnia complaint difficulty initiating sleep (DIS) (HR = 1.10, 95% CI: 1.04-1.16). NOA likewise identified DIS only to directly predict first-onset MDD, independent of four other associated depression complaints.

conclusionsWe showed prospectively that DIS is a risk factor for first-onset MDD. Among the different other insomnia symptoms, the specific treatment of DIS might be the most sensible target to combat the global burden of depression through prevention.

Indexed as

Major Depressive DisorderSleep Initiation and Maintenance DisordersDepressionHumansNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalNetherlandsProspective StudiesSleepinsomniamajor depressive disordermultivariate analysisnetwork outcome analysisprevention

Identifiers

PMID31789381
PMCPMC7215262
OpenAlexW2992703060

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.