Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31788232›Full record

ArticleJournal of global health2019

Development and validation of prediction models for hypertension risks in rural Chinese populations.

Fei Xu, Jicun Zhu, Nan Sun, Lu Wang, Chen Xie, Qixin Tang, Xiangjie Mao, Xianzhi Fu, Anna Brickell, Yibin Hao and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of global health, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Survey and Evaluation of Hypertension Machine Learning Research.Journal of the American Heart Association · 2023
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Development of a risk prediction model for incident hypertension in Japanese individuals: the Hisayama Study.Hypertension research : official journal of the Japanese Society of Hypertension · 2021
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Fei XuDepartment of Social Medicine and Health Management, College of Public Health, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, PR China.
Jicun ZhuDepartment of Social Medicine and Health Management, College of Public Health, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, PR China.
Nan SunDepartment of Management Information Systems, Terry College of Business, University of Georgia, Athens, Georgia, USA.
Lu WangDepartment of Social Medicine and Health Management, College of Public Health, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, PR China.
Chen XieDepartment of Social Medicine and Health Management, College of Public Health, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, PR China.
Qixin TangDepartment of Social Medicine and Health Management, College of Public Health, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, PR China.
Xiangjie MaoDepartment of Social Medicine and Health Management, College of Public Health, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, PR China.
Xianzhi FuDepartment of Social Medicine and Health Management, College of Public Health, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, PR China.
Anna BrickellCollege of Medicine, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences, Little Rock, Arkansas, USA.
Yibin HaoPeople's Hospital of Zhengzhou, Zhengzhou, Henan, PR China.
Changqing SunDepartment of Social Medicine and Health Management, College of Public Health, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, PR China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundVarious hypertension predictive models have been developed worldwide; however, there is no existing predictive model for hypertension among Chinese rural populations.

methodsThis is a 6-year population-based prospective cohort in rural areas of China. Data was collected in 2007-2008 (baseline survey) and 2013-2014 (follow-up survey) from 8319 participants ranging in age from 35 to 74 years old. Specified gender hypertension predictive models were established based on multivariate Cox regression, Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Naive Bayes Classifier (NBC), and Classification and Regression Tree (CART) in the training set. External validation was conducted in the testing set. The estimated models were assessed by discrimination and calibration, respectively.

resultsDuring the follow-up period, 432 men and 604 women developed hypertension in the training set. Assessment for established models in men suggested men office-based model (M1) was better than others. C-index of M1 model in the testing set was 0.771 (95% confidence Interval (CI) = 0.750, 0.791), and calibration χ

conclusionsNot all machine-learning models performed better than the traditional Cox regression models. The W1 and ANN models for women and M1 model for men have better predictive performance which could potentially be recommended for predicting hypertension risk among rural populations.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalAdultAgedChinaFemaleHumansHypertensionMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesReproducibility of ResultsRisk AssessmentRural Population

Identifiers

PMID31788232
PMCPMC6875679

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.