Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31781360›Full record

ArticleJournal of healthcare engineering2019

Machine Learning-Based Forecast of Hemorrhagic Stroke Healthcare Service Demand considering Air Pollution.

Jian Chen, Hong Li, Li Luo, Yangyang Zhang, Fengyi Zhang, Fang Chen, Mei Chen

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of healthcare engineering, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Jian ChenBusiness School, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan Province 610000, China.
Hong LiBusiness School, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan Province 610000, China.
Li LuoBusiness School, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan Province 610000, China.ORCID 0000-0002-2007-7916
Yangyang ZhangBusiness School, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan Province 610000, China.
Fengyi ZhangBusiness School, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan Province 610000, China.
Fang ChenThe First People's Hospital of Longquanyi District, Chengdu, Sichuan Province 610100, China.ORCID 0000-0002-7820-7728
Mei ChenThe First People's Hospital of Longquanyi District, Chengdu, Sichuan Province 610100, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study aimed to forecast the pattern of the demand for hemorrhagic stroke healthcare services based on air quality and machine learning. Hemorrhagic stroke, air quality, and meteorological data for 2016-2017 were obtained from the Longquanyi District of China, and the study included 1932 cases. Six machine learning methods were used to forecast the demand for hemorrhagic stroke healthcare services considering seasonality and a lag effect, and the average area under the curve was as high as 0.7971. Our results indicate that (1) the performance of forecasting during the warm season is significantly better than that in the cold season, (2) considering air pollution would improve the performance of forecasting the demand for hemorrhagic stroke healthcare services using machine learning, (3) the association between the demand for hemorrhagic stroke healthcare services and air pollutants is linear to some extent, and (4) it is feasible to use short-term concentrations of air pollutants to forecast the demand for hemorrhagic stroke healthcare services. This practical forecast model could provide an advance warning regarding the potentially high numbers of hemorrhagic stroke admissions to medical institutions, thus allowing time to implement an appropriate response to the increase in patient volumes.

Indexed as

Machine LearningAir PollutionChinaDatabases, FactualForecastingHealth Services Needs and DemandHospitalizationHumansModels, StatisticalSeasonsStroke

Identifiers

PMID31781360
PMCPMC6875383

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.