Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31778167›Full record

SynthesisThe Journal of infectious diseases2020

Estimating the Global Prevalence, Disease Progression, and Clinical Outcome of Hepatitis Delta Virus Infection.

Zhijiang Miao, Shaoshi Zhang, Xumin Ou, Shan Li, Zhongren Ma, Wenshi Wang, Maikel P Peppelenbosch, Jiaye Liu, Qiuwei Pan

Registry-linked trialOpen access · hybridAbstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in The Journal of infectious diseases, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT06539052 (A Model to Improve the Screening and Linkage to Care of HDV Infection in Migrant Living in Southern Italy Taking Advantage of HDV Reflex Testing), which is not on this map. Cited by 181 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
181citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
18.2field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT06539052 not yet recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2024, after this paper: background citation

A Model to Improve the Screening and Linkage to Care of HDV Infection in Migrant Living in Southern Italy Taking Advantage of HDV Reflex Testing: MIGrant Reflex Test HDV (MIGRED) Project

Typeobservational_patient_registrySponsorUniversity of Campania Luigi VanvitelliRan2024 to 2026Enrolled7,500ConditionsHepatitis D Virus InfectionArmsanti-HDV positive with the reflex testing methodology
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

181 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 327 citations in OpenAlex.

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  11. Observational
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  14. High Rates of Advanced Chronic Liver Disease in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis D Virus Infection in Uzbekistan.Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver · 2026
    Article
  15. From Diagnosis to Durability: A Review of the European Bulevirtide Experience and Practical Learnings for CHD Management.Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver · 2026
    Review
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121 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

Zhijiang MiaoDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Erasmus MC-University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Shaoshi ZhangDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Erasmus MC-University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Xumin OuDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Erasmus MC-University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Shan LiDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Erasmus MC-University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Zhongren MaBiomedical Research Center, Northwest Minzu University, Lanzhou, People's Republic of China.
Wenshi WangDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Erasmus MC-University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Maikel P PeppelenboschDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Erasmus MC-University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Jiaye LiuDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Erasmus MC-University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Qiuwei PanDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Erasmus MC-University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Erasmus MC · NLDaping Hospital · CNMinzu University of China · CNUniversity Hospital Heidelberg · DE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHepatitis delta virus (HDV) coinfects with hepatitis B virus (HBV) causing the most severe form of viral hepatitis. However, its exact global disease burden remains largely obscure. We aim to establish the global epidemiology, infection mode-stratified disease progression, and clinical outcome of HDV infection.

methodsWe conducted a meta-analysis with a random-effects model and performed data synthesis.

resultsThe pooled prevalence of HDV is 0.80% (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.63-1.00) among the general population and 13.02% (95% CI, 11.96-14.11) among HBV carriers, corresponding to 48-60 million infections globally. Among HBV patients with fulminant hepatitis, cirrhosis, or hepatocellular carcinoma, HDV prevalence is 26.75% (95% CI, 19.84-34.29), 25.77% (95% CI, 20.62-31.27), and 19.80% (95% CI, 10.97-30.45), respectively. The odds ratio (OR) of HDV infection among HBV patients with chronic liver disease compared with asymptomatic controls is 4.55 (95% CI, 3.65-5.67). Hepatitis delta virus-coinfected patients are more likely to develop cirrhosis than HBV-monoinfected patients with OR of 3.84 (95% CI, 1.79-8.24). Overall, HDV infection progresses to cirrhosis within 5 years and to hepatocellular carcinoma within 10 years, on average.

conclusionsFindings suggest that HDV poses a heavy global burden with rapid progression to severe liver diseases, urging effective strategies for screening, prevention, and treatment.

Indexed as

Hepatitis Delta VirusDeveloping CountriesGlobal HealthHepatitis DHumansPrevalenceRisk Factorscirrhosisdisease progressionepidemiologyhepatitis delta virushepatocellular carcinoma

Identifiers

PMID31778167
PMCPMC7184909
OpenAlexW2990181696

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.