Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31775837›Full record

ArticleCritical care (London, England)2019

Mortality risk over time after early fluid resuscitation in African children.

Elizabeth C George, Sarah Kiguli, Peter Olupot Olupot, Robert O Opoka, Charles Engoru, Samuel O Akech, Richard Nyeko, George Mtove, Ayub Mpoya, Margaret J Thomason and 6 more

Open access · goldAbstract readComment
In one paragraph

Article in Critical care (London, England), 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
1.0field-weighted citation impact, top 23% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 10 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors at 11 institutions in 4 countries.

Elizabeth C GeorgeMedical Research Council Clinical Trials Unit (MRC CTU) at UCL, Institute of Clinical Trials and Methodology, UCL, London, UK. elizabeth.george@ucl.ac.uk.
Sarah KiguliDepartment of Paediatrics, Mulago Hospital, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda.
Peter Olupot OlupotMbale Clinical Research Institute, Mbale, Uganda.
Robert O OpokaDepartment of Paediatrics, Mulago Hospital, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda.
Charles EngoruDepartment of Paediatrics, Mulago Hospital, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda.
Samuel O AkechKilifi Clinical Trials Facility, KEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Richard NyekoDepartment of Paediatrics, St Mary's Hospital, Lacor, Gulu, Uganda.
George MtoveDepartment of Paediatrics, Joint Malaria Programme, Teule Hospital, Teule, Tanzania.
Ayub MpoyaKilifi Clinical Trials Facility, KEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Margaret J ThomasonMedical Research Council Clinical Trials Unit (MRC CTU) at UCL, Institute of Clinical Trials and Methodology, UCL, London, UK.
Jane CrawleyMedical Research Council Clinical Trials Unit (MRC CTU) at UCL, Institute of Clinical Trials and Methodology, UCL, London, UK.
Jennifer A EvansDepartment of Paediatrics, University Hospital of Wales, Cardiff, UK.
Diana M GibbMedical Research Council Clinical Trials Unit (MRC CTU) at UCL, Institute of Clinical Trials and Methodology, UCL, London, UK.
Abdel G BabikerMedical Research Council Clinical Trials Unit (MRC CTU) at UCL, Institute of Clinical Trials and Methodology, UCL, London, UK.
Kathryn MaitlandMedical Research Council Clinical Trials Unit (MRC CTU) at UCL, Institute of Clinical Trials and Methodology, UCL, London, UK.
A Sarah WalkerMedical Research Council Clinical Trials Unit (MRC CTU) at UCL, Institute of Clinical Trials and Methodology, UCL, London, UK.
University College London · GBKenya Medical Research Institute · KEMakerere University · UGMRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL · GBImperial College London · GBMbale Hospital · UGMedical Research Council · GBMulago Hospital · UGRajabu St Augustine's, Hospitali Teule · TZSt. Mary's Hospital Lacor · UGUniversity Hospital of Wales · GB

Funding

Medical Research Council G0601027Medical Research Council G0801439Medical Research Council MC_U122886353Medical Research Council MC_UU_12023/17Medical Research Council MC_UU_12023/26
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAfrican children hospitalised with severe febrile illness have a high risk of mortality. The Fluid Expansion As Supportive Therapy (FEAST) trial (ISCRTN 69856593) demonstrated increased mortality risk associated with fluid boluses, but the temporal relationship to bolus therapy and underlying mechanism remains unclear.

methodsIn a post hoc retrospective analysis, flexible parametric models were used to compare change in mortality risk post-randomisation in children allocated to bolus therapy with 20-40 ml/kg 5% albumin or 0.9% saline over 1-2 h or no bolus (control, 4 ml/kg/hour maintenance), overall and for different terminal clinical events (cardiogenic, neurological, respiratory, or unknown/other).

resultsTwo thousand ninety-seven and 1041 children were randomised to bolus vs no bolus, of whom 254 (12%) and 91 (9%) respectively died within 28 days. Median (IQR) bolus fluid in the bolus groups received by 4 h was 20 (20, 40) ml/kg and was the same at 8 h; total fluids received in bolus groups at 4 h and 8 h were 38 (28, 43) ml/kg and 40 (30, 50) ml/kg, respectively. Total fluid volumes received in the control group by 4 h and 8 h were median (IQR) 10 (6, 15) ml/kg and 10 (10, 26) ml/kg, respectively. Mortality risk was greatest 30 min post-randomisation in both groups, declining sharply to 4 h and then more slowly to 28 days. Maximum mortality risk was similar in bolus and no bolus groups; however, the risk declined more slowly in the bolus group, with significantly higher mortality risk compared to the no bolus group from 1.6 to 101 h (4 days) post-randomisation. The delay in decline in mortality risk in the bolus groups was most pronounced for cardiogenic modes of death.

conclusionsThe increased risk from bolus therapy was not due to a mechanism occurring immediately after bolus administration. Excess mortality risk in the bolus group resulted from slower decrease in mortality risk over the ensuing 4 days. Thus, administration of modest bolus volumes appeared to prevent mortality risk declining at the same rate that it would have done without a bolus, rather than harm associated with bolus resulting from a concurrent increased risk of death peri-bolus administration.

trial registrationISRCTN69856593. Date of registration 15 December 2008.

Indexed as

Fluid TherapyInfectionsChildHumansResuscitationRetrospective StudiesTimeAfricaFluid resuscitationMortality riskPaediatric shockParametric models

Identifiers

PMID31775837
PMCPMC6882199
OpenAlexW2989769860

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.