Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31775635›Full record

ArticleBMC medical research methodology2019

Analysing detection of chronic diseases with prolonged sub-clinical periods: modelling and application to hypertension in the U.S.

Ralph Brinks, Sophie Kaufmann, Annika Hoyer, Edward W Gregg, Jürgen Saal

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medical research methodology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Ralph BrinksUniversity Hospital, Department and Hiller research unit for Rheumatology, Moorenstr. 5, Düsseldorf, 40225, Germany. Ralph.Brinks@ddz.uni-duesseldorf.de.
Sophie KaufmannGerman Diabetes Center, Institute for Biometry and Epidemiology, Auf'm Hennekamp 65, Düesseldorf, 40225, Germany.
Annika HoyerGerman Diabetes Center, Institute for Biometry and Epidemiology, Auf'm Hennekamp 65, Düesseldorf, 40225, Germany.
Edward W GreggCenters for Disease Control and Prevention, Division of Diabetes Translation, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America.
Jürgen SaalHeinrich-Heine-University Düsseldorf, Mathematical Institute, Düsseldorf, Germany.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWe recently introduced a system of partial differential equations (PDEs) to model the prevalence of chronic diseases with a possibly prolonged state of asymptomatic, undiagnosed disease preceding a diagnosis. Common examples for such diseases include coronary heart disease, type 2 diabetes or cancer. Widespread application of the new method depends upon mathematical treatment of the system of PDEs.

methodsIn this article, we study the existence and the uniqueness of the solution of the system of PDEs. To demonstrate the usefulness and importance of the system, we model the age-specific prevalence of hypertension in the US 1999-2010.

resultsThe examinations of mathematical properties provide a way to solve the systems of PDEs by the method of characteristics. In the application to hypertension, we obtain a good agreement between modeled and surveyed age-specific prevalences.

conclusionsThe described system of PDEs provides a practical way to examine the epidemiology of chronic diseases with a state of undiagnosed disease preceding a diagnosis.

Indexed as

Mathematical ComputingModels, StatisticalAdultAgedAge FactorsChronic DiseaseFemaleHumansHypertensionMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceUnited StatesYoung AdultCompartment modelIncidenceNHANESPrevalence

Identifiers

PMID31775635
PMCPMC6880443

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.