Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31771709›Full record

ArticleEuro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin2019

Paradoxical clade- and age-specific vaccine effectiveness during the 2018/19 influenza A(H3N2) epidemic in Canada: potential imprint-regulated effect of vaccine (I-REV).

Danuta M Skowronski, Suzana Sabaiduc, Siobhan Leir, Caren Rose, Macy Zou, Michelle Murti, James A Dickinson, Romy Olsha, Jonathan B Gubbay, Matthew A Croxen and 6 more

Open access · diamondAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 49 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
49citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
7.3field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

49 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 67 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Trial
  4. Review
  5. Interim 2025/26 influenza vaccine effectiveness estimates with immuno-epidemiological considerations for A(H3N2) subclade K protection, Canada, January 2026.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2026
    Article
  6. Review
  7. Emergence of seasonal influenza A(H3N2) variants with immune escape potential warrants enhanced molecular and epidemiological surveillance for the 2025-2026 season.Journal of the Association of Medical Microbiology and Infectious Disease Canada = Journal officiel de l'Association pour la microbiologie medicale et l'infectiologie Canada · 2025
    Article
  8. Influenza vaccine effectiveness in Europe and the birth cohort effect against influenza A(H1N1)pdm09: VEBIS primary care multicentre study, 2023/24.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2025
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  18. Vaccine effectiveness estimates from an early-season influenza A(H3N2) epidemic, including unique genetic diversity with reassortment, Canada, 2022/23.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2023
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors at 9 institutions in 1 country.

Danuta M SkowronskiBritish Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, Canada.
Suzana SabaiducBritish Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, Canada.
Siobhan LeirBritish Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, Canada.
Caren RoseBritish Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, Canada.
Macy ZouBritish Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, Canada.
Michelle MurtiPublic Health Ontario, Toronto, Canada.
James A DickinsonUniversity of Calgary, Calgary, Canada.
Romy OlshaPublic Health Ontario, Toronto, Canada.
Jonathan B GubbayPublic Health Ontario, Toronto, Canada.
Matthew A CroxenAlberta Precision Laboratories, Edmonton, Alberta.
Hugues CharestInstitut National de Santé Publique du Québec, Québec, Canada.
Nathalie BastienNational Microbiology Laboratory, Public Health Agency of Canada, Winnipeg, Canada.
Yan LiNational Microbiology Laboratory, Public Health Agency of Canada, Winnipeg, Canada.
Agatha JassemBritish Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, Canada.
Mel KrajdenBritish Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, Canada.
Gaston De SerresLaval University, Quebec, Canada.
BC Centre for Disease Control · CAPublic Health Agency of Canada · CAPublic Health Ontario · CAAlberta Hospital Edmonton · CAInstitut National de Santé Publique du Québec · CAUniversité Laval · CAUniversity of British Columbia · CAUniversity of Calgary · CAUniversity of Toronto · CA

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

IntroductionThe Canadian Sentinel Practitioner Surveillance Network reports vaccine effectiveness (VE) for the 2018/19 influenza A(H3N2) epidemic.AimTo explain a paradoxical signal of increased clade 3C.3a risk among 35-54-year-old vaccinees, we hypothesise childhood immunological imprinting and a cohort effect following the 1968 influenza A(H3N2) pandemic.MethodsWe assessed VE by test-negative design for influenza A(H3N2) overall and for co-circulating clades 3C.2a1b and 3C.3a. VE variation by age in 2018/19 was compared with amino acid variation in the haemagglutinin glycoprotein by year since 1968.ResultsInfluenza A(H3N2) VE was 17% (95% CI: -13 to 39) overall: 27% (95% CI: -7 to 50) for 3C.2a1b and -32% (95% CI: -119 to 21) for 3C.3a. Among 20-64-year-olds, VE was -7% (95% CI: -56 to 26): 6% (95% CI: -49 to 41) for 3C.2a1b and -96% (95% CI: -277 to -2) for 3C.3a. Clade 3C.3a VE showed a pronounced negative dip among 35-54-year-olds in whom the odds of medically attended illness were > 4-fold increased for vaccinated vs unvaccinated participants (p < 0.005). This age group was primed in childhood to influenza A(H3N2) viruses that for two decades following the 1968 pandemic bore a serine at haemagglutinin position 159, in common with contemporary 3C.3a viruses but mismatched to 3C.2a vaccine strains instead bearing tyrosine.DiscussionImprinting by the first childhood influenza infection is known to confer long-lasting immunity focused toward priming epitopes. Our findings suggest vaccine mismatch may negatively interact with imprinted immunity. The immunological mechanisms for imprint-regulated effect of vaccine (I-REV) warrant investigation.

Indexed as

Immunologic MemoryVaccine PotencyAdultAge FactorsCanadaFemaleHemagglutinin Glycoproteins, Influenza VirusHumansInfluenza A Virus, H3N2 SubtypeInfluenza, HumanInfluenza VaccinesMaleMiddle AgedPopulation SurveillanceSentinel SurveillanceVaccinationHemagglutinin Glycoproteins, Influenza VirusInfluenza VaccinesA(H3N2)cladecohort effectimprintingInfluenzavaccine effectiveness

Identifiers

PMID31771709
PMCPMC6864978
OpenAlexW2987515596

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.