Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31769300›Full record

ArticleEnvironmental health perspectives2019

Suicide and Ambient Temperature: A Multi-Country Multi-City Study.

Yoonhee Kim, Ho Kim, Antonio Gasparrini, Ben Armstrong, Yasushi Honda, Yeonseung Chung, Chris Fook Sheng Ng, Aurelio Tobias, Carmen Íñiguez, Eric Lavigne and 16 more

Open access · diamondAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Environmental health perspectives, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 85 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
85citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
7.1field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

85 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 175 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Building the model: a review of input structures in extreme temperature-health.Environmental health : a global access science source · 2026
    Pooled it
  2. A Systematic Literature Review of the Impact of Climate Change on the Global Demand for Psychiatric Services.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023
    Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Suicide and Associations with Air Pollution and Ambient Temperature: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Pooled it
  5. Environmental Risk Factors and Health: An Umbrella Review of Meta-Analyses.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Pooled it
  6. Article
  7. The physiology of survival: Heat.Experimental physiology · 2026
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Too Hot to Ignore: The Escalating Health Impact of Heatwaves in Brazil.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2025
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

25 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

26 authors at 19 institutions in 11 countries.

Yoonhee KimDepartment of Global Environmental Health, Graduate School of Medicine, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Ho KimGraduate School of Public Health, Seoul National University, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Antonio GasparriniDepartment of Public Health, Environments and Society, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Ben ArmstrongDepartment of Public Health, Environments and Society, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Yasushi HondaFaculty of Health and Sport Sciences, University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Japan.
Yeonseung ChungDepartment of Mathematical Sciences, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Daejeon, South Korea.
Chris Fook Sheng NgSchool of Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan.
Aurelio TobiasInstitute of Environmental Assessment and Water Research, Spanish Council for Scientific Research, Barcelona, Spain.
Carmen ÍñiguezDepartment of Statistics and Computational Research, Universitat de València, Spain.
Eric LavigneSchool of Epidemiology and Public Health, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Francesco SeraDepartment of Public Health, Environments and Society, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Ana M Vicedo-CabreraDepartment of Public Health, Environments and Society, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Martina S RagettliDepartment of Epidemiology and Public Health, Environmental Exposures and Health Unit, Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Basel, Switzerland.
Noah ScovronickDepartment of Environmental Health, Emory Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Fiorella AcquaottaDepartment of Earth Sciences, University of Turin, Turin, Italy.
Bing-Yu ChenDepartment of Environmental and Occupational Medicine, National Taiwan University College of Medicine and National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.
Yue-Liang Leon GuoDepartment of Environmental and Occupational Medicine, National Taiwan University College of Medicine and National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.
Xerxes SeposoDepartment of Environmental Engineering, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan.
Tran Ngoc DangInstitute of Research and Development, Duy Tan University, Da Nang, Vietnam.
Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio CoelhoInstitute of Advanced Studies, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.
Paulo Hilario Nascimento SaldivaInstitute of Advanced Studies, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.
Anna KoshelevaDepartment of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Antonella ZanobettiDepartment of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Joel SchwartzDepartment of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Michelle L BellSchool of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
Masahiro HashizumeSchool of Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan.
Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene · GBHarvard University · USNagasaki University · JPUniversidade de São Paulo · BRDuy Tan University · VNEmory University · USHealth Canada · CAInstitute of Environmental Assessment and Water Research · ESKorea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology · KRKyoto University · JPNational Health Research Institutes · TWNational Taiwan University Hospital · TWSeoul National University · KRSwiss Tropical and Public Health Institute · CHThe University of Tokyo · JPUniversitat de València · ESUniversity of Tsukuba · JPUniversity of Turin · ITYale University · US

Funding

Pilot Project ProgramP30ES019776 · NIEHS · EMORY UNIVERSITY · PI Carmen Joseph Marsit · 2013 to 2026
$22.6M
Medical Research Council MR/M022625/1Medical Research Council MR/R013349/1NIEHS NIH HHS P30 ES019776
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPrevious literature suggests that higher ambient temperature may play a role in increasing the risk of suicide. However, no multi-country study has explored the shape of the association and the role of moderate and extreme heat across different locations.

objectivesWe examined the short-term temperature-suicide relationship using daily time-series data collected for 341 locations in 12 countries for periods ranging from 4 to 40 y.

methodsWe conducted a two-stage meta-analysis. First, we performed location-specific time-stratified case-crossover analyses to examine the temperature-suicide association for each location. Then, we used a multivariate meta-regression to combine the location-specific lag-cumulative nonlinear associations across all locations and by country.

resultsA total of 1,320,148 suicides were included in this study. Higher ambient temperature was associated with an increased risk of suicide in general, and we observed a nonlinear association (inverted J-shaped curve) with the highest risk at 27°C. The relative risk (RR) for the highest risk was 1.33 (95% CI: 1.30, 1.36) compared with the risk at the first percentile. Country-specific results showed that the nonlinear associations were more obvious in northeast Asia (Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan). The temperature with the highest risk of suicide ranged from the 87th to 88th percentiles in the northeast Asian countries, whereas this value was the 99th percentile in Western countries (Canada, Spain, Switzerland, the UK, and the United States) and South Africa, where nearly linear associations were estimated. The country-specific RRs ranged from 1.31 (95% CI: 1.19, 1.44) in the United States to 1.65 (95% CI: 1.40, 1.93) in Taiwan, excluding countries where the results were substantially uncertain. DISCUSSION: Our findings showed that the risk of suicide increased with increasing ambient temperature in many countries, but to varying extents and not necessarily linearly. This temperature-suicide association should be interpreted cautiously, and further evidence of the relationship and modifying factors is needed. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP4898.

Indexed as

BrazilCanadaCitiesHot TemperatureHumansJapanPhilippinesRepublic of KoreaRiskSouth AfricaSpainSuicideSwitzerlandTaiwanUnited KingdomUnited States

Identifiers

PMID31769300
PMCPMC6927501
OpenAlexW2989995362

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.