Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31767750›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2019

Replicator degrees of freedom allow publication of misleading failures to replicate.

Christopher J Bryan, David S Yeager, Joseph M O'Brien

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 21 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Toward a more credible assessment of the credibility of science by many-analyst studies.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Unraveling controversies over civic honesty measurement: An extended field replication in China.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  9. A values-aligned intervention fosters growth mindset-supportive teaching and reduces inequality in educational outcomes.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  10. Efficiently exploring the causal role of contextual moderators in behavioral science.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  11. Review
  12. Synthesizing evidence in sustainability science through harmonized experiments: Community monitoring in common pool resources.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2021
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Infection threat shapes our social instincts.Behavioral ecology and sociobiology · 2021
    Review
  15. Science as collaborative knowledge generation.The British journal of social psychology · 2021
    Article
  16. Science is not a signal detection problem.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2020
    Article
  17. Review
  18. Replicator degrees of freedom allow publication of misleading failures to replicate.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2019
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Christopher J BryanBooth School of Business, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL 60637; christopher.bryan@chicagobooth.edu.ORCID 0000-0002-1582-4411
David S YeagerDepartment of Psychology, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712.ORCID 0000-0002-8522-9503
Joseph M O'BrienDepartment of Psychology, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712.

Funding

Scientific & Technical CoreP2CHD042849 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS AT AUSTIN · PI Elizabeth T. Gershoff · 2017 to 2026
$5.2M
Estimating and Understanding Effects of Teaching Teens That People Can ChangeR01HD084772 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS AT AUSTIN · PI YEAGER, DAVID S · 2015 to 2019
$3.0M
NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD042849NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD084772
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In recent years, the field of psychology has begun to conduct replication tests on a large scale. Here, we show that "replicator degrees of freedom" make it far too easy to obtain and publish false-negative replication results, even while appearing to adhere to strict methodological standards. Specifically, using data from an ongoing debate, we show that commonly exercised flexibility at the experimental design and data analysis stages of replication testing can make it appear that a finding was not replicated when, in fact, it was. The debate that we focus on is representative, on key dimensions, of a large number of other replication tests in psychology that have been published in recent years, suggesting that the lessons of this analysis may be far reaching. The problems with current practice in replication science that we uncover here are particularly worrisome because they are not adequately addressed by the field's standard remedies, including preregistration. Implications for how the field could develop more effective methodological standards for replication are discussed.

Indexed as

Reproducibility of ResultsBiomedical ResearchData Interpretation, StatisticalHumansPsychologyResearch DesignSurveys and Questionnairesnull hackingp-hackingreplication crisisreproducibilityresearcher degrees of freedom

Identifiers

PMID31767750
PMCPMC6925985

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.