ArticleBMJ open2019
Cost-effectiveness and value-based prices of the 9-valent human papillomavirus vaccine for the prevention of cervical cancer in China: an economic modelling analysis.
Article in BMJ open, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
17 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 39 citations in OpenAlex.
- Uptake and determinants of HPV vaccination in South Asia: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Frontiers in public health · 2024Pooled it
- The cost-effectiveness of bivalent, quadrivalent, and nine-valent HPV vaccination in Asia: a systematic review.Archives of gynecology and obstetrics · 2022Pooled it
- Cost-effectiveness of human papillomavirus vaccine in China: a systematic review of modelling studies.BMJ open · 2021Pooled it
- Clearance of human papillomavirus infection in patients with cervical intraepithelial neoplasia: A systemic review and meta-analysis.Medicine · 2020Pooled it
- Algorithm-driven HPV vaccine allocation paradigm for cervical cancer elimination targeting the Chinese population.NPJ digital medicine · 2026Article
- Public Health Impact and Cost-Effectiveness of Routine and Catch-Up Human Papillomavirus Vaccination in Girls and Women in Selected Regions of China: A Model-Based Study.PharmacoEconomics · 2026Article
- Economic evidence for expansion of HPV vaccination for the prevention of cervical cancer in LMICs: BIA framework construction and empirical analysis in China.BMC public health · 2026Article
- Cost effectiveness of female HPV vaccines for routine childhood immunisation schedule in Türkiye.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Review
- Cost-effectiveness analysis of switching from a bivalent to a nonavalent HPV vaccination programme in China: a modelling study.The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific · 2025Article
- Modelling epidemiological and economics processes - the case of cervical cancer.Health economics review · 2025Review
- Informing HPV vaccine pricing for government-funded vaccination in mainland China: a modelling study.The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific · 2024Article
- Early adoption of innovation in HPV prevention strategies: closing the gap in cervical cancer.Ecancermedicalscience · 2024Review
- Projections of cancer mortality by 2025 in central China: A modeling study of global burden of disease 2019.Heliyon · 2023Article
- Human papillomavirus vaccination at the national and provincial levels in China: a cost-effectiveness analysis using the PRIME model.BMC public health · 2022Article
- Cost-Effectiveness of Bivalent, Quadrivalent, and Nonavalent HPV Vaccination in South Africa.Clinical drug investigation · 2022Article
- Modeling the epidemiological impact and cost-effectiveness of a combined schoolgirl HPV vaccination and cervical cancer screening program among Chinese women.Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
3 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
objectivesTo evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the 9-valent human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine for the prevention of cervical cancer in China.
designHealth economic modelling using the Papillomavirus Rapid Interface for Modelling and Economics (PRIME) model populated with China-specific data.
settingIndividual cervical cancer prevention in China using the 9-valent HPV vaccine from the perspective of private sector purchasers in relation to receiving other HPV vaccines and not receiving vaccination for 16-year-old girls in China who had not been previously infected with HPV.
participantsNot applicable.
interventionsVaccination using the 9-valent, the quadrivalent and the bivalent vaccines. PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE: Incremental costs per disability-adjusted life year (DALY) prevented.
resultsIn the base case, the incremental costs per DALY prevented were, respectively, US$35 000 and US$50 455 compared with the quadrivalent and the bivalent vaccines, both of which were above the cost-effective threshold of US$25 920/DALY prevented. To be cost-effective in these comparisons, the 9-valent vaccine should be priced at $550 and $450 for the full doses, respectively. To be highly cost-effective, the price thresholds were $435 and $335. The incremental costs per DALY prevented in relation to no vaccination was US$23 012, making the 9-valent vaccine marginally cost-effective. The results were robust in most one-way sensitivity analyses including changing vaccination age to 13 and 26 years.
conclusionsAt the current price, the 9-valent HPV vaccine is not cost-effective compared with the quadrivalent and the bivalent vaccines for young girls in China who had not been previously infected with HPV. Policymakers and clinicians should keep potential vaccine recipients informed about the economic profile of the 9-valent vaccine and carefully consider expanding its use in China at the current price.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.