Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31754696›Full record

ArticleJournal of the National Cancer Institute2020

Predicting Persistent Opioid Use, Abuse, and Toxicity Among Cancer Survivors.

Lucas K Vitzthum, Paul Riviere, Paige Sheridan, Vinit Nalawade, Rishi Deka, Timothy Furnish, Loren K Mell, Brent Rose, Mark Wallace, James D Murphy

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 34 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
34citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
7.1field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

34 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 56 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Moving towards the use of artificial intelligence in pain management.European journal of pain (London, England) · 2025
    Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Article
  5. Opioid prescription patterns in long-term disease-free cancer survivors: a retrospective analysis at a single NCI-designated comprehensive cancer center.Supportive care in cancer : official journal of the Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer · 2025
    Observational
  6. Article
  7. Observational
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Personalized Medicine in Cancer Pain Management.Journal of personalized medicine · 2023
    Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Long-term opioid use in patients treated with head and neck intensity-modulated radiotherapy.Supportive care in cancer : official journal of the Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer · 2022
    Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Lucas K VitzthumDepartment of Radiation Medicine and Applied Sciences, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA.
Paul RiviereDepartment of Radiation Medicine and Applied Sciences, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA.
Paige SheridanDepartment of Radiation Medicine and Applied Sciences, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA.
Vinit NalawadeDepartment of Radiation Medicine and Applied Sciences, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA.
Rishi DekaDepartment of Radiation Medicine and Applied Sciences, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA.
Timothy FurnishDepartment of Family Medicine and Public Health and Division of Pain Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA.
Loren K MellDepartment of Radiation Medicine and Applied Sciences, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA.
Brent RoseDepartment of Radiation Medicine and Applied Sciences, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA.
Mark Wallace
James D MurphyDepartment of Radiation Medicine and Applied Sciences, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA.
University of California San Diego · US

Funding

VIRAL MALIGNANCYP30CA023100 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI DIANE M SIMEONE · 1985 to 2026
$124.9M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA023100
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAlthough opioids play a critical role in the management of cancer pain, the ongoing opioid epidemic has raised concerns regarding their persistent use and abuse. We lack data-driven tools in oncology to understand the risk of adverse opioid-related outcomes. This project seeks to identify clinical risk factors and create a risk score to help identify patients at risk of persistent opioid use and abuse.

methodsWithin a cohort of 106 732 military veteran cancer survivors diagnosed between 2000 and 2015, we determined rates of persistent posttreatment opioid use, diagnoses of opioid abuse or dependence, and admissions for opioid toxicity. A multivariable logistic regression model was used to identify patient, cancer, and treatment risk factors associated with adverse opioid-related outcomes. Predictive risk models were developed and validated using a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression technique.

resultsThe rate of persistent opioid use in cancer survivors was 8.3% (95% CI = 8.1% to 8.4%); the rate of opioid abuse or dependence was 2.9% (95% CI = 2.8% to 3.0%); and the rate of opioid-related admissions was 2.1% (95% CI = 2.0% to 2.2%). On multivariable analysis, several patient, demographic, and cancer and treatment factors were associated with risk of persistent opioid use. Predictive models showed a high level of discrimination when identifying individuals at risk of adverse opioid-related outcomes including persistent opioid use (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.85), future diagnoses of opioid abuse or dependence (AUC = 0.87), and admission for opioid abuse or toxicity (AUC = 0.78).

conclusionThis study demonstrates the potential to predict adverse opioid-related outcomes among cancer survivors. With further validation, personalized risk-stratification approaches could guide management when prescribing opioids in cancer patients.

Indexed as

AgedAnalgesics, OpioidCancer SurvivorsCohort StudiesDatabases, FactualFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedModels, StatisticalNeoplasmsOpioid-Related DisordersUnited StatesUnited States Department of Veterans AffairsVeteransAnalgesics, Opioid

Identifiers

PMID31754696
PMCPMC7357328
OpenAlexW2989871244

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.