Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31752889›Full record

ArticleMalaria journal2019

The potential of pregnant women as a sentinel population for malaria surveillance.

Nina C Brunner, Frank Chacky, Renata Mandike, Ally Mohamed, Manuela Runge, Sumaiyya G Thawer, Amanda Ross, Penelope Vounatsou, Christian Lengeler, Fabrizio Molteni and 1 more

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Malaria journal, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT05072613 (Pregnant Women Attending Antenatal Care Services as a Sentinel Population for Antimalarial Drug Resistance Genetic Surveillance in Africa), which is not on this map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT05072613 completednot on this mapstarted 2021, after this paper: background citation

Pregnant Women Attending Antenatal Care Services as a Sentinel Population for Antimalarial Drug Resistance Genetic Surveillance in Africa

TypeobservationalSponsorUniversity of OxfordRan2021 to 2023Enrolled6,833ConditionsMalariaArmsMalaria screening
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Nina C BrunnerSwiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Socinstrasse 57, 4002, Basel, Switzerland.
Frank ChackyNational Malaria Control Programme, P.O. Box 9083, Dar es Salaam, United Republic of Tanzania.
Renata MandikeNational Malaria Control Programme, P.O. Box 9083, Dar es Salaam, United Republic of Tanzania.
Ally MohamedNational Malaria Control Programme, P.O. Box 9083, Dar es Salaam, United Republic of Tanzania.
Manuela RungeSwiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Socinstrasse 57, 4002, Basel, Switzerland.
Sumaiyya G ThawerSwiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Socinstrasse 57, 4002, Basel, Switzerland.
Amanda RossSwiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Socinstrasse 57, 4002, Basel, Switzerland.
Penelope VounatsouSwiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Socinstrasse 57, 4002, Basel, Switzerland.
Christian LengelerSwiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Socinstrasse 57, 4002, Basel, Switzerland.
Fabrizio MolteniSwiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Socinstrasse 57, 4002, Basel, Switzerland.
Manuel W HetzelSwiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Socinstrasse 57, 4002, Basel, Switzerland. manuel.hetzel@swisstph.ch.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-3254

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWith increasing spatial heterogeneity of malaria transmission and a shift of the disease burden towards older children and adults, pregnant women attending antenatal care (ANC) have been proposed as a pragmatic sentinel population for malaria surveillance. However, the representativeness of routine ANC malaria test-positivity and its relationship with prevalence in other population subgroups are yet to be investigated.

methodsMonthly ANC malaria test-positivity data from all Tanzanian health facilities for January 2014 to May 2016 was compared to prevalence data from the School Malaria Parasitaemia Survey 2015, the Malaria Indicator Survey (MIS) 2015/16, the Malaria Atlas Project 2015, and a Bayesian model fitted to MIS data. Linear regression was used to describe the difference between malaria test-positivity in pregnant women and respective comparison groups as a function of ANC test-positivity and potential covariates.

resultsThe relationship between ANC test-positivity and survey prevalence in children follows spatially and biologically meaningful patterns. However, the uncertainty of the relationship was substantial, particularly in areas with high or perennial transmission. In comparison, modelled data estimated higher prevalence in children at low transmission intensities and lower prevalence at higher transmission intensities.

conclusionsPregnant women attending ANC are a pragmatic sentinel population to assess heterogeneity and trends in malaria prevalence in Tanzania. Yet, since ANC malaria test-positivity cannot be used to directly predict the prevalence in other population subgroups, complementary community-level measurements remain highly relevant.

Indexed as

Population SurveillanceAdolescentAdultChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansInfantMalariaPrevalenceSentinel SurveillanceTanzaniaYoung AdultMalariaMalaria eliminationPregnant womenSurveillance

Identifiers

PMID31752889
PMCPMC6873723

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.