Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31749995›Full record

SynthesisBMJ global health2019

Prognostic models for adverse pregnancy outcomes in low-income and middle-income countries: a systematic review.

Tessa Heestermans, Beth Payne, Gbenga Ayodele Kayode, Mary Amoakoh-Coleman, Ewoud Schuit, Marcus J Rijken, Kerstin Klipstein-Grobusch, Kitty Bloemenkamp, Diederick E Grobbee, Joyce L Browne

Abstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in BMJ global health, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Validation of the miniPIERS model and a prognostic model for perinatal death in hypertensive pregnancy: Insights from the PREECARDIA study in Guinea-Bissau.International journal of gynaecology and obstetrics: the official organ of the International Federation of Gynaecology and Obstetrics · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
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  6. High-altitude pregnancy adaptation: evidence from a Himalayan population in Leh.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2025
    Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Pre-eclampsia.Nature reviews. Disease primers · 2023
    Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
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  13. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Tessa HeestermansJulius Global Health, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, Universitair Medisch Centrum Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Beth PayneJulius Global Health, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, Universitair Medisch Centrum Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Gbenga Ayodele KayodeJulius Global Health, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, Universitair Medisch Centrum Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Mary Amoakoh-ColemanJulius Global Health, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, Universitair Medisch Centrum Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Ewoud SchuitJulius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Marcus J RijkenJulius Global Health, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, Universitair Medisch Centrum Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Kerstin Klipstein-GrobuschJulius Global Health, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, Universitair Medisch Centrum Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Kitty BloemenkampDivision of Woman and Baby, Universitair Medisch Centrum Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Diederick E GrobbeeJulius Global Health, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, Universitair Medisch Centrum Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Joyce L BrowneJulius Global Health, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, Universitair Medisch Centrum Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionNinety-nine per cent of all maternal and neonatal deaths occur in low-income and middle-income countries (LMIC). Prognostic models can provide standardised risk assessment to guide clinical management and can be vital to reduce and prevent maternal and perinatal mortality and morbidity. This review provides a comprehensive summary of prognostic models for adverse maternal and perinatal outcomes developed and/or validated in LMIC.

methodsA systematic search in four databases (PubMed/Medline, EMBASE, Global Health Library and The Cochrane Library) was conducted from inception (1970) up to 2 May 2018. Risk of bias was assessed with the PROBAST tool and narratively summarised.

results1741 articles were screened and 21 prognostic models identified. Seventeen models focused on maternal outcomes and four on perinatal outcomes, of which hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (n=9) and perinatal death including stillbirth (n=4) was most reported. Only one model was externally validated. Thirty different predictors were used to develop the models. Risk of bias varied across studies, with the item 'quality of analysis' performing the least.

conclusionPrognostic models can be easy to use, informative and low cost with great potential to improve maternal and neonatal health in LMIC settings. However, the number of prognostic models developed or validated in LMIC settings is low and mirrors the 10/90 gap in which only 10% of resources are dedicated to 90% of the global disease burden. External validation of existing models developed in both LMIC and high-income countries instead of developing new models should be encouraged. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42017058044.

Indexed as

maternal healthobstetricssystematic review

Identifiers

PMID31749995
PMCPMC6830054

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.