Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31740536›Full record

ArticleCMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne2019

Age-standardized cancer-incidence trends in Canada, 1971-2015.

Darren R Brenner, Yibing Ruan, Eileen Shaw, Dylan O'Sullivan, Abbey E Poirier, Emily Heer, Paul J Villeneuve, Stephen D Walter, Christine M Friedenreich, Leah Smith and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed
2.6field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed, 43 citations in OpenAlex.

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  10. The risk of skin cancer in women who carry BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutations.Hereditary cancer in clinical practice · 2024
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  14. Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on cancer diagnoses, stage and survival in Alberta.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2023
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  20. Incidence and mortality rates of keratinocyte carcinoma from 1998-2017: a population-based study of sex differences in Ontario, Canada.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Darren R BrennerDepartments of Oncology and Community Health Sciences (Brenner, Friedenreich), Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary; Department of Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention Research (Brenner, Ruan, Shaw, Poirier, Heer, Friedenreich), CancerControl Alberta, Alberta Health Services, Calgary, Alta.; Department of Public Health Sciences (O'Sullivan), Queen's University, Kingston, Ont.; Department of Health Sciences (Villeneuve), Carleton University, Ottawa, Ont.; Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics (Walter), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Canadian Cancer Society (Smith); Surveillance and Cancer Registry (De), Cancer Care Ontario, Toronto, Ont. darren.brenner@ucalgary.ca.
Yibing RuanDepartments of Oncology and Community Health Sciences (Brenner, Friedenreich), Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary; Department of Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention Research (Brenner, Ruan, Shaw, Poirier, Heer, Friedenreich), CancerControl Alberta, Alberta Health Services, Calgary, Alta.; Department of Public Health Sciences (O'Sullivan), Queen's University, Kingston, Ont.; Department of Health Sciences (Villeneuve), Carleton University, Ottawa, Ont.; Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics (Walter), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Canadian Cancer Society (Smith); Surveillance and Cancer Registry (De), Cancer Care Ontario, Toronto, Ont.
Eileen ShawDepartments of Oncology and Community Health Sciences (Brenner, Friedenreich), Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary; Department of Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention Research (Brenner, Ruan, Shaw, Poirier, Heer, Friedenreich), CancerControl Alberta, Alberta Health Services, Calgary, Alta.; Department of Public Health Sciences (O'Sullivan), Queen's University, Kingston, Ont.; Department of Health Sciences (Villeneuve), Carleton University, Ottawa, Ont.; Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics (Walter), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Canadian Cancer Society (Smith); Surveillance and Cancer Registry (De), Cancer Care Ontario, Toronto, Ont.
Dylan O'SullivanDepartments of Oncology and Community Health Sciences (Brenner, Friedenreich), Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary; Department of Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention Research (Brenner, Ruan, Shaw, Poirier, Heer, Friedenreich), CancerControl Alberta, Alberta Health Services, Calgary, Alta.; Department of Public Health Sciences (O'Sullivan), Queen's University, Kingston, Ont.; Department of Health Sciences (Villeneuve), Carleton University, Ottawa, Ont.; Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics (Walter), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Canadian Cancer Society (Smith); Surveillance and Cancer Registry (De), Cancer Care Ontario, Toronto, Ont.
Abbey E PoirierDepartments of Oncology and Community Health Sciences (Brenner, Friedenreich), Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary; Department of Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention Research (Brenner, Ruan, Shaw, Poirier, Heer, Friedenreich), CancerControl Alberta, Alberta Health Services, Calgary, Alta.; Department of Public Health Sciences (O'Sullivan), Queen's University, Kingston, Ont.; Department of Health Sciences (Villeneuve), Carleton University, Ottawa, Ont.; Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics (Walter), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Canadian Cancer Society (Smith); Surveillance and Cancer Registry (De), Cancer Care Ontario, Toronto, Ont.
Emily HeerDepartments of Oncology and Community Health Sciences (Brenner, Friedenreich), Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary; Department of Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention Research (Brenner, Ruan, Shaw, Poirier, Heer, Friedenreich), CancerControl Alberta, Alberta Health Services, Calgary, Alta.; Department of Public Health Sciences (O'Sullivan), Queen's University, Kingston, Ont.; Department of Health Sciences (Villeneuve), Carleton University, Ottawa, Ont.; Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics (Walter), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Canadian Cancer Society (Smith); Surveillance and Cancer Registry (De), Cancer Care Ontario, Toronto, Ont.
Paul J VilleneuveDepartments of Oncology and Community Health Sciences (Brenner, Friedenreich), Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary; Department of Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention Research (Brenner, Ruan, Shaw, Poirier, Heer, Friedenreich), CancerControl Alberta, Alberta Health Services, Calgary, Alta.; Department of Public Health Sciences (O'Sullivan), Queen's University, Kingston, Ont.; Department of Health Sciences (Villeneuve), Carleton University, Ottawa, Ont.; Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics (Walter), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Canadian Cancer Society (Smith); Surveillance and Cancer Registry (De), Cancer Care Ontario, Toronto, Ont.
Stephen D WalterDepartments of Oncology and Community Health Sciences (Brenner, Friedenreich), Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary; Department of Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention Research (Brenner, Ruan, Shaw, Poirier, Heer, Friedenreich), CancerControl Alberta, Alberta Health Services, Calgary, Alta.; Department of Public Health Sciences (O'Sullivan), Queen's University, Kingston, Ont.; Department of Health Sciences (Villeneuve), Carleton University, Ottawa, Ont.; Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics (Walter), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Canadian Cancer Society (Smith); Surveillance and Cancer Registry (De), Cancer Care Ontario, Toronto, Ont.
Christine M FriedenreichDepartments of Oncology and Community Health Sciences (Brenner, Friedenreich), Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary; Department of Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention Research (Brenner, Ruan, Shaw, Poirier, Heer, Friedenreich), CancerControl Alberta, Alberta Health Services, Calgary, Alta.; Department of Public Health Sciences (O'Sullivan), Queen's University, Kingston, Ont.; Department of Health Sciences (Villeneuve), Carleton University, Ottawa, Ont.; Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics (Walter), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Canadian Cancer Society (Smith); Surveillance and Cancer Registry (De), Cancer Care Ontario, Toronto, Ont.
Leah SmithDepartments of Oncology and Community Health Sciences (Brenner, Friedenreich), Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary; Department of Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention Research (Brenner, Ruan, Shaw, Poirier, Heer, Friedenreich), CancerControl Alberta, Alberta Health Services, Calgary, Alta.; Department of Public Health Sciences (O'Sullivan), Queen's University, Kingston, Ont.; Department of Health Sciences (Villeneuve), Carleton University, Ottawa, Ont.; Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics (Walter), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Canadian Cancer Society (Smith); Surveillance and Cancer Registry (De), Cancer Care Ontario, Toronto, Ont.
Prithwish DeDepartments of Oncology and Community Health Sciences (Brenner, Friedenreich), Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary; Department of Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention Research (Brenner, Ruan, Shaw, Poirier, Heer, Friedenreich), CancerControl Alberta, Alberta Health Services, Calgary, Alta.; Department of Public Health Sciences (O'Sullivan), Queen's University, Kingston, Ont.; Department of Health Sciences (Villeneuve), Carleton University, Ottawa, Ont.; Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics (Walter), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont.; Canadian Cancer Society (Smith); Surveillance and Cancer Registry (De), Cancer Care Ontario, Toronto, Ont.
Canadian Cancer Society · CAUniversity of Calgary · CA

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAlthough cancer incidence over time is well documented in Canada, trends by birth cohort and age group are less well known. We analyzed age- and sex-standardized incidence trends in Canada for 16 major cancer sites and all cancers combined.

methodsWe obtained nationally representative population-based cancer incidence data in Canada between 1971 and 2015 from the National Cancer Incidence Reporting System (1969-1992) and the Canadian Cancer Registry (1992-2015). We analyzed cancer-incidence trends, reported as annual percent change (APC) for each 10-year group from age 20 to 89 years. We also estimated age-adjusted incidence rate ratios from fitted birth cohort models.

resultsAcross most age categories, the most recent trends show significant decreases in the incidence of cervical (APC -8.8% to -0.33%), lung (men: -7.42% to -0.36%; women: -6.27% to 1.07%), bladder (women: -4.12% to -0.07%; men: -5.13% to -0.38%) and prostate cancer (-11.11% to -1.11%). Significant increasing trends were observed for kidney, thyroid and uterine cancers. Overall incidence has increased among both sexes younger than 50 years of age, with recent increases in pancreatic cancer among men, breast cancer among women and colorectal cancer among both sexes. From the birth cohort analysis, we observed increasing trends in colorectal, liver and prostate cancers among men; kidney cancer and melanoma among women; and thyroid cancer among both sexes. We observed decreasing trends in cervical and ovarian cancers, and in bladder and lung cancers among men.

interpretationCancer incidence is decreasing at many sites targeted by primary-prevention efforts, such as smoking cessation and screening programs. Substantial increases in incidence among younger populations are driven by cancers possibly associated with obesity.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsCanadaColorectal NeoplasmsFemaleHumansIncidenceKidney NeoplasmsLung NeoplasmsMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasmsPancreatic NeoplasmsProstatic Neoplasms

Identifiers

PMID31740536
PMCPMC6861145
OpenAlexW2984854268

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.