Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31740441›Full record

ArticleDiabetes2020

Predictive Modeling of Type 1 Diabetes Stages Using Disparate Data Sources.

Brigitte I Frohnert, Bobbie-Jo Webb-Robertson, Lisa M Bramer, Sara M Reehl, Kathy Waugh, Andrea K Steck, Jill M Norris, Marian Rewers

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Diabetes, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
3.0field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 34 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Brigitte I FrohnertBarbara Davis Center for Diabetes, School of Medicine, University of Colorado, Aurora, CO brigitte.frohnert@cuanschutz.edu.ORCID 0000-0002-6636-4048
Bobbie-Jo Webb-RobertsonComputational and Statistical Analytics Division, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA.
Lisa M BramerComputational and Statistical Analytics Division, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA.
Sara M ReehlComputational and Statistical Analytics Division, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA.
Kathy WaughBarbara Davis Center for Diabetes, School of Medicine, University of Colorado, Aurora, CO.
Andrea K SteckBarbara Davis Center for Diabetes, School of Medicine, University of Colorado, Aurora, CO.ORCID 0000-0002-5931-9484
Jill M NorrisDepartment of Epidemiology, Colorado School of Public Health, University of Colorado, Aurora, CO.ORCID 0000-0001-8674-2598
Marian RewersBarbara Davis Center for Diabetes, School of Medicine, University of Colorado, Aurora, CO.
University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus · USPacific Northwest National Laboratory · USColorado School of Public Health · US

Funding

UCHSC DIABETES ENDOCRINOLOGY RESEARCH CENTERP30DK057516 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI HUTTON, JOHN C · 2000 to 2010
$14.0M
Natural History of Pre-Diabetic Autoimmunity (DAISY)R01DK032493 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI REWERS, MARIAN J · 1986 to 2024
$9.3M
Multiple Autoantigens/Multiple Epitopes of Type 1DMR01DK032083 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI MICHELS, AARON W · 1986 to 2025
$6.9M
NUTRITIONAL ETIOLOGY OF PREDIABETIC AUTOIMMUNITYR01DK049654 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI NORRIS, JILL M · 1997 to 2011
$5.8M
K12 Career DevelopmentK12DK094712 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI STECK, ANDREA · 2011 to 2021
$4.5M
MULTIPLE AUTOANTIGENS OF PRETYPE I DMR37DK032083 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI EISENBARTH, GEORGE S · 1992 to 1999
–
NIDDK NIH HHS K12 DK094712NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK057516NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK032083NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK032493NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK049654NIDDK NIH HHS R37 DK032083
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study aims to model genetic, immunologic, metabolomics, and proteomic biomarkers for development of islet autoimmunity (IA) and progression to type 1 diabetes in a prospective high-risk cohort. We studied 67 children: 42 who developed IA (20 of 42 progressed to diabetes) and 25 control subjects matched for sex and age. Biomarkers were assessed at four time points: earliest available sample, just prior to IA, just after IA, and just prior to diabetes onset. Predictors of IA and progression to diabetes were identified across disparate sources using an integrative machine learning algorithm and optimization-based feature selection. Our integrative approach was predictive of IA (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC] 0.91) and progression to diabetes (AUC 0.92) based on standard cross-validation (CV). Among the strongest predictors of IA were change in serum ascorbate, 3-methyl-oxobutyrate, and the

Indexed as

Adenosine DiphosphateAdolescentAscorbic AcidAutoimmunityBiomarkersButyratesCase-Control StudiesChildChild, PreschoolDiabetes Mellitus, Type 1FemaleFibrinogenHumansInfantMaleMannoseAdenosine DiphosphateAscorbic AcidBiomarkersButyratesFibrinogenMannoseProtein Tyrosine Phosphatase, Non-Receptor Type 22PTPN22 protein, human

Identifiers

PMID31740441
PMCPMC6971485
OpenAlexW2991074127

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.