Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31732326›Full record

SynthesisVaccine2020

The effect of time since measles vaccination and age at first dose on measles vaccine effectiveness - A systematic review.

Stephanie L Hughes, Shelly Bolotin, Sumaiya Khan, Ye Li, Caitlin Johnson, Lindsay Friedman, Andrea C Tricco, Susan J M Hahné, Jane M Heffernan, Alya Dabbagh and 5 more

Abstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Vaccine, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 32 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
32citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

32 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Investigation of a measles outbreak in a highly vaccinated middle school, France, 2023.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2025
    Article
  8. Measles seroprevalence by birth cohort across the lifespan: a population-based, cross-sectional serosurvey in British Columbia, Canada.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2025
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Long-term Dynamics of Measles Virus-Specific Neutralizing Antibodies in Children Vaccinated Before 12 Months of Age.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2025
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Stephanie L HughesPublic Health Ontario, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Shelly BolotinPublic Health Ontario, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathobiology, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Sumaiya KhanPublic Health Ontario, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Ye LiPublic Health Ontario, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Caitlin JohnsonPublic Health Ontario, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Lindsay FriedmanPublic Health Ontario, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Andrea C TriccoDalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Susan J M HahnéCentre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
Jane M HeffernanCentre for Disease Modelling, Department of Mathematics & Statistics, York University, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Alya DabbaghDepartment of Immunisation, Vaccines, and Biologicals, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
David N DurrheimHunter New England Health, New Lambton Heights, New South Wales, Australia; School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Newcastle, New South Wales, Australia; Public Health and Tropical Medicine, James Cook University, Queensland, Australia.
Walter A OrensteinEmory University School of Medicine, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, United States; Emory Vaccine Center, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, United States.
William J MossInternational Vaccine Access Center, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, United States.
Mark JitDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom; Modelling and Economics Unit, Public Health England, London, United Kingdom.
Natasha S CrowcroftPublic Health Ontario, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathobiology, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; ICES, Toronto, Ontario, Canada. Electronic address: natasha.crowcroft@utoronto.ca.

Funding

World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn settings where measles has been eliminated, vaccine-derived immunity may in theory wane more rapidly due to a lack of immune boosting by circulating measles virus. We aimed to assess whether measles vaccine effectiveness (VE) waned over time, and if so, whether differentially in measles-eliminated and measles-endemic settings.

methodsWe performed a systematic literature review of studies that reported VE and time since vaccination with measles-containing vaccine (MCV). We extracted information on case definition (clinical symptoms and/or laboratory diagnosis), method of vaccination status ascertainment (medical record or vaccine registry), as well as any biases which may have arisen from cold chain issues and a lack of an age at first dose of MCV. We then used linear regression to evaluate VE as a function of age at first dose of MCV and time since MCV.

resultsAfter screening 14,782 citations, we identified three full-text articles from measles-eliminated settings and 33 articles from measles-endemic settings. In elimination settings, two-dose VE estimates increased as age at first dose of MCV increased and decreased as time since MCV increased; however, the small number of studies available limited interpretation. In measles-endemic settings, one-dose VE increased by 1.5% (95% CI 0.5, 2.5) for every month increase in age at first dose of MCV. We found no evidence of waning VE in endemic settings.

conclusionsThe paucity of data from measles-eliminated settings indicates that additional studies and approaches (such as studies using proxies including laboratory correlates of protection) are needed to answer the question of whether VE in measles-eliminated settings wanes. Age at first dose of MCV was the most important factor in determining VE. More VE studies need to be conducted in elimination settings, and standards should be developed for information collected and reported in such studies.

Indexed as

Immunization ScheduleAge FactorsHumansInfantMeaslesMeasles VaccineMeasles virusRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicTreatment OutcomeVaccinationMeasles VaccineEliminatedEndemicImmunisationMeaslesVaccine effectivenessWaning immunity

Identifiers

PMID31732326
PMCPMC6970218

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.