Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31728648›Full record

ArticleMetabolomics : Official journal of the Metabolomic Society2019

A comparative evaluation of the generalised predictive ability of eight machine learning algorithms across ten clinical metabolomics data sets for binary classification.

Kevin M Mendez, Stacey N Reinke, David I Broadhurst

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Metabolomics : Official journal of the Metabolomic Society, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 89 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
89citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

89 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Periodontal disease metabolomics signatures from different biofluids: a systematic review.Metabolomics : Official journal of the Metabolomic Society · 2022
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29 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Kevin M MendezCentre for Metabolomics & Computational Biology, School of Science, Edith Cowan University, Joondalup, 6027, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-8832-2607
Stacey N ReinkeCentre for Metabolomics & Computational Biology, School of Science, Edith Cowan University, Joondalup, 6027, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-0758-0330
David I BroadhurstCentre for Metabolomics & Computational Biology, School of Science, Edith Cowan University, Joondalup, 6027, Australia. d.broadhurst@ecu.edu.au.ORCID 0000-0003-0775-9581

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionMetabolomics is increasingly being used in the clinical setting for disease diagnosis, prognosis and risk prediction. Machine learning algorithms are particularly important in the construction of multivariate metabolite prediction. Historically, partial least squares (PLS) regression has been the gold standard for binary classification. Nonlinear machine learning methods such as random forests (RF), kernel support vector machines (SVM) and artificial neural networks (ANN) may be more suited to modelling possible nonlinear metabolite covariance, and thus provide better predictive models.

objectivesWe hypothesise that for binary classification using metabolomics data, non-linear machine learning methods will provide superior generalised predictive ability when compared to linear alternatives, in particular when compared with the current gold standard PLS discriminant analysis.

methodsWe compared the general predictive performance of eight archetypal machine learning algorithms across ten publicly available clinical metabolomics data sets. The algorithms were implemented in the Python programming language. All code and results have been made publicly available as Jupyter notebooks.

resultsThere was only marginal improvement in predictive ability for SVM and ANN over PLS across all data sets. RF performance was comparatively poor. The use of out-of-bag bootstrap confidence intervals provided a measure of uncertainty of model prediction such that the quality of metabolomics data was observed to be a bigger influence on generalised performance than model choice.

conclusionThe size of the data set, and choice of performance metric, had a greater influence on generalised predictive performance than the choice of machine learning algorithm.

Indexed as

Discriminant AnalysisAlgorithmsHumansLeast-Squares AnalysisMachine LearningMetabolomicsNeural Networks, ComputerPrognosisSupport Vector MachineArtificial neural networkJupyterMachine learningMetabolomicsOpen sourcePartial least squaresRandom forestSupport vector machines

Identifiers

PMID31728648
PMCPMC6856029

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.