Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31727927›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2019

Using bear rub data and spatial capture-recapture models to estimate trend in a brown bear population.

Katherine C Kendall, Tabitha A Graves, J Andrew Royle, Amy C Macleod, Kevin S McKelvey, John Boulanger, John S Waller

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Precision and bias of spatial capture-recapture estimates: A multi-site, multi-year Utah black bear case study.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2022
    Article
  5. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Katherine C KendallU.S. Geological Survey, Northern Rocky Mountain Science Center, West Glacier, Montana, 59936, USA. kkendall2382@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4831-2287
Tabitha A GravesU.S. Geological Survey, Northern Rocky Mountain Science Center, West Glacier, Montana, 59936, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5145-2400
J Andrew RoyleU.S. Geological Survey, Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, Laurel, Maryland, 20708, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3135-2167
Amy C MacleodApplied Conservation Ecology, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, T6G 2H1, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6966-2278
Kevin S McKelveyU.S. Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station, Missoula, MT, 59801, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1399-3166
John BoulangerIntegrated Ecological Research, Nelson, British Columbia, V1L 5T2, Canada.
John S WallerU.S. National Park Service, Glacier National Park, West Glacier, Montana, 59936, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Trends in population abundance can be challenging to quantify during range expansion and contraction, when there is spatial variation in trend, or the conservation area is large. We used genetic detection data from natural bear rubbing sites and spatial capture-recapture (SCR) modeling to estimate local density and population growth rates in a grizzly bear population in northwestern Montana, USA. We visited bear rubs to collect hair in 2004, 2009-2012 (3,579-4,802 rubs) and detected 249-355 individual bears each year. We estimated the finite annual population rate of change 2004-2012 was 1.043 (95% CI = 1.017-1.069). Population density shifted from being concentrated in the north in 2004 to a more even distribution across the ecosystem by 2012. Our genetic detection sampling approach coupled with SCR modeling allowed us to estimate spatially variable growth rates of an expanding grizzly bear population and provided insight into how those patterns developed. The ability of SCR to utilize unstructured data and produce spatially explicit maps that indicate where population change is occurring promises to facilitate the monitoring of difficult-to-study species across large spatial areas.

Indexed as

AnimalsConservation of Natural ResourcesEcosystemGenotyping TechniquesHairMontanaPopulation DensitySpatial AnalysisUrsidae

Identifiers

PMID31727927
PMCPMC6856102

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.