Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31727645›Full record

SynthesisBMJ open2019

Optimising paediatric afferent component early warning systems: a hermeneutic systematic literature review and model development.

Nina Jacob, Yvonne Moriarty, Amy Lloyd, Mala Mann, Lyvonne N Tume, Gerri Sefton, Colin Powell, Damian Roland, Robert Trubey, Kerenza Hood and 1 more

Abstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in BMJ open, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. [Early warning scores: a rapid umbrella review].Medizinische Klinik, Intensivmedizin und Notfallmedizin · 2025
    Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Nina JacobCentre for Trials Research, Cardiff University, Cardiff, UK Jacobn@cardiff.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0002-3240-4179
Yvonne MoriartyCentre for Trials Research, Cardiff University, Cardiff, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-7608-4699
Amy LloydCentre for Trials Research, Cardiff University, Cardiff, UK.
Mala MannUniversity Library Services, Cardiff University, Cardiff, UK.
Lyvonne N TumeFaculty of Health and Applied Sciences (HAS), University of the West of England Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Gerri SeftonAlder Hey Children's NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, UK.
Colin PowellDepartment of Pediatric Emergency Medicine, Sidra Medical and Research Center, Doha, Qatar.
Damian RolandEmergency Department, Paediatric Emergency Medicine Leicester Academic (PEMLA) Group, Leicester, UK.
Robert TrubeyCentre for Trials Research, Cardiff University, Cardiff, UK.
Kerenza HoodCentre for Trials Research, Cardiff University, Cardiff, UK.
Davina AllenSchool of Healthcare Sciences, Cardiff University, Cardiff, UK.

Funding

Department of Health HS&DR/12/178/17
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo identify the core components of successful early warning systems for detecting and initiating action in response to clinical deterioration in paediatric inpatients.

methodsA hermeneutic systematic literature review informed by translational mobilisation theory and normalisation process theory was used to synthesise 82 studies of paediatric and adult early warning systems and interventions to support the detection of clinical deterioration and escalation of care. This method, which is designed to develop understanding, enabled the development of a propositional model of an optimal afferent component early warning system.

resultsDetecting deterioration and initiating action in response to clinical deterioration in paediatric inpatients involves several challenges, and the potential failure points in early warning systems are well documented. Track and trigger tools (TTT) are commonly used and have value in supporting key mechanisms of action but depend on certain preconditions for successful integration into practice. Several supplementary interventions have been proposed to improve the effectiveness of early warning systems but there is limited evidence to recommend their wider use, due to the weight and quality of the evidence; the extent to which systems are conditioned by the local clinical context; and the need to attend to system component relationships, which do not work in isolation. While it was not possible to make empirical recommendations for practice, the review methodology generated theoretical inferences about the core components of an optimal system for early warning systems. These are presented as a propositional model conceptualised as three subsystems: detection, planning and action.

conclusionsThere is a growing consensus of the need to think beyond TTTs in improving action to detect and respond to clinical deterioration. Clinical teams wishing to improve early warning systems can use the model to consider systematically the constellation of factors necessary to support detection, planning and action and consider how these arrangements can be implemented in their local context. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42015015326.

Indexed as

Clinical DeteriorationMonitoring, PhysiologicChildEvidence-Based MedicineHealth Status IndicatorsHospitals, PediatricHumansIntensive Care Units, PediatricPediatricsSeverity of Illness Indexchildrenclinical deteriorationearly warning scoresPEWSsystematic reviewtrack and trigger scores

Identifiers

PMID31727645
PMCPMC6886951

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.