Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31725119›Full record

ArticleThe Pediatric infectious disease journal2020

Earlier Antiretroviral Therapy Initiation and Decreasing Mortality Among HIV-infected Infants Initiating Antiretroviral Therapy Within 3 Months of Age in South Africa, 2006-2017.

Victoria Iyun, Karl-Gunter Technau, Brian Eley, Helena Rabie, Andrew Boulle, Geoffrey Fatti, Matthias Egger, Frank Tanser, Robin Wood, Lee Fairlie and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Pediatric infectious disease journal, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Victoria IyunFrom the Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town Medicine, Cape Town, South Africa.
Karl-Gunter TechnauEmpilweni Services and Research Centre, Rahima Moosa Mother and Child Hospital, Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Brian EleyRed Cross War Memorial Children's Hospital, Paediatric Infectious Diseases Unit, Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Helena RabieDepartment of Paediatrics and Child Health, Stellenbosch University, Tygerberg, South Africa.
Andrew BoulleFrom the Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town Medicine, Cape Town, South Africa.
Geoffrey FattiKheth'Impilo, South Africa.
Matthias EggerFrom the Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town Medicine, Cape Town, South Africa.
Frank TanserAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.
Robin WoodDesmond Tutu HIV Centre, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Lee FairlieWits Reproductive Health and HIV Research Institute, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Mark F CottonKhayelitsha ART Programme and Health Impact Assessment, Western Cape Department of Health, Cape Town, South Africa.
Mary-Ann DaviesFrom the Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town Medicine, Cape Town, South Africa.

Funding

Observational Antiretroviral Studies In Southern Africa (OASIS) CollaborationU01AI069924 · NIAID · UNIVERSITAT BERN · PI Cleophas Chimbetete, Mary-Ann Davies · 2006 to 2026
$55.9M
NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI069924
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEarly infant diagnosis of HIV and antiretroviral therapy (ART) has been rapidly scaled-up. We aimed to examine the effect of expanded access to early ART on the characteristics and outcomes of infants initiating ART.

methodsFrom 9 cohorts within the International epidemiologic Databases to Evaluate AIDS-Southern Africa collaboration, we included infants with HIV initiating ART ≤3 months of age between 2006 and 2017. We described ART initiation characteristics and the probability of mortality, loss to follow-up (LTFU) and transfer out after 6 months on ART and assessed factors associated with mortality and LTFU.

resultsA total of 1847 infants started ART at a median age of 60 days [interquartile range: 29-77] and CD4 percentage (%) of 27% (18%-38%). Across ART initiation calendar periods 2006-2009 to 2013-2017, ART initiation age decreased from 68 (53-81) to 45 days (7-71) (P < 0.001), median CD4% improved from 22% (15%-34%) to 32% (22-43) (P < 0.001) and the proportion with World Health Organization clinical disease stage 3 or 4 declined from 81.6% to 32.7% (P < 0.001). Overall, the 6-month mortality probability was 5.0% and LTFU was 20.4%. Mortality was 10.6% (95% confidence interval: 7.8%-14.4%) in 2006-2009 and 4.6% (3.1%-6.7%) in 2013-2017 (P < 0.001), with similar LTFU across calendar periods (P = 0.274). Pretreatment weight-for-age Z score <-2 was associated with higher mortality.

conclusionsInfants with HIV are starting ART younger and healthier with associated declines in mortality. However, the risk of mortality remained undesirably high in recent years. Focused interventions are needed to optimize the benefits of earlier diagnosis and treatment.

Indexed as

Africa, SouthernAnti-HIV AgentsAntiretroviral Therapy, Highly ActiveCD4 Lymphocyte CountFemaleHIV InfectionsHumansIncidenceInfantInfant, NewbornMaleMortalityProportional Hazards ModelsTime-to-TreatmentTreatment OutcomeViral LoadAnti-HIV Agents

Identifiers

PMID31725119
PMCPMC7073445

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.