Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31722368›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of epidemiology2021

Ensemble modelling in descriptive epidemiology: burden of disease estimation.

Marlena S Bannick, Madeline McGaughey, Abraham D Flaxman

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in International journal of epidemiology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. District-Level Forecast of Achieving Trachoma Elimination as a Public Health Problem By 2030: An Ensemble Modelling Approach.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2024
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Meta-Dynamic Network Modelling for Biochemical Networks.Methods in molecular biology (Clifton, N.J.) · 2023
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Marlena S BannickInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Madeline McGaugheyInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Abraham D FlaxmanInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Ensemble modelling is a quantitative method that combines information from multiple individual models and has shown great promise in statistical machine learning. Ensemble models have a theoretical claim to being models that make the 'best' predictions possible. Applications of ensemble models to health research have included applying ensemble models like the super learner and random forests to epidemiological prediction tasks. Recently, ensemble methods have been applied successfully in burden of disease estimation. This article aims to provide epidemiologists with a practical understanding of the mechanisms of an ensemble model and insight into constructing ensemble models that are grounded in the epidemiological dynamics of the prediction problem of interest. We summarize the history of ensemble models, present a user-friendly framework for conceptualizing and constructing ensemble models, walk the reader through a tutorial of applying the framework to an application in burden of disease estimation, and discuss further applications.

Indexed as

Cost of IllnessMachine LearningHumansburden of diseasedescriptive epidemiologyEnsemble modelsstatistical learning

Identifiers

PMID31722368

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.