Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31718560›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2019

The effect of temperature on childhood hand, foot and mouth disease in Guangdong Province, China, 2010-2013: a multicity study.

Zece Xu, Wenqi Hu, Kedi Jiao, Ci Ren, Baofa Jiang, Wei Ma

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
3.9field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 37 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. The Effect of High and Low Ambient Temperature on Infant Health: A Systematic Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
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  12. [Epidemiological Characteristics of Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease and the Effect of EV71 Vaccination in Chengdu from 2012 to 2020].Sichuan da xue xue bao. Yi xue ban = Journal of Sichuan University. Medical science edition · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Zece XuDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Shandong University, 44 West Wenhua Road, Jinan, Shandong, 250012, People's Republic of China.
Wenqi HuQianfoshan Hospital of Shandong Province, 16766 Jingshi Road, Jinan, Shandong, 250012, People's Republic of China.
Kedi JiaoDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Shandong University, 44 West Wenhua Road, Jinan, Shandong, 250012, People's Republic of China.
Ci RenDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Shandong University, 44 West Wenhua Road, Jinan, Shandong, 250012, People's Republic of China.
Baofa JiangDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Shandong University, 44 West Wenhua Road, Jinan, Shandong, 250012, People's Republic of China.
Wei MaDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Shandong University, 44 West Wenhua Road, Jinan, Shandong, 250012, People's Republic of China. weima@sdu.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8092-3280
Shandong University · CNShandong Provincial QianFoShan Hospital · CN

Funding

Ministry of Science and Technology of the People's Republic of China 2017FY101202National Basic Research Program of China (973 Program) 2012CB955500-95502
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) is a serious infectious disease, which has become a public health problem. Previous studies have shown that temperature may influence the incidence of HFMD, but most only focus on single city and the results are highly heterogeneous. Therefore, a multicity study was conducted to explore the association between temperature and HFMD in different cities and search for modifiers that influence the heterogeneity.

methodsWe collected daily cases of childhood HFMD (aged 0-5 years) and meteorological factors of 21 cities in Guangdong Province in the period of 2010-2013. Distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) with quasi-Poisson was adopted to quantify the effects of temperature on HFMD in 21 cities. Then the effects of each city were pooled by multivariate meta-analysis to obtain the heterogeneity among 21 cities. Potential city-level factors were included in meta-regression to explore effect modifiers.

resultsA total of 1,048,574 childhood cases were included in this study. There was a great correlation between daily childhood HFMD cases and temperature in each city, which was non-linear and lagged. High heterogeneity was showed in the associations between temperature and HFMD in 21 cities. The pooled temperature-HFMD association was peaking at the 79th percentile of temperature with relative risk (RR) of 2.474(95% CI: 2.065-2.965) as compared to the median temperature. Latitude was the main modifier for reducing the heterogeneity to 69.28% revealed by meta-analysis.

conclusionsThere was a strong non-linear and lagged correlation between temperature and HFMD. Latitude was strongly associated with the relationship between temperature and HFMD. Meanwhile, it had an effect on modifying the relationship. These findings can conducive to local governments developing corresponding preventive measures.

Indexed as

Child, PreschoolChinaCitiesHand, Foot and Mouth DiseaseHumansIncidenceInfantInfant, NewbornPublic HealthRiskTemperatureDistributed lag non-linear modelHand, foot and mouth diseaseMultivariate meta-analysisTwo-stage analysis

Identifiers

PMID31718560
PMCPMC6852944
OpenAlexW2988746612

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.