Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31714368›Full record

ArticleJournal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999)2020

The Mediating Role of Partner Selection in the Association Between Transactional Sex and HIV Incidence Among Young Women.

Meghna Ranganathan, Kelly Kilburn, Marie C D Stoner, James P Hughes, Catherine MacPhail, Francesc Xavier Gomez-Olive, Ryan G Wagner, Kathleen Kahn, Yaw Agyei, Audrey Pettifor

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999), 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.7field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 21 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Loss to Follow-Up and Visit Nonadherence in an HIV Incidence Cohort in Kisumu, Kenya.Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 6 institutions in 4 countries.

Meghna RanganathanDepartment of Global Health and Development, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Kelly KilburnCarolina Population Center, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC.
Marie C D StonerCarolina Population Center, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC.
James P HughesDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA.
Catherine MacPhailSchool of Health and Society, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, New South Wales, Australia.
Francesc Xavier Gomez-OliveMRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa; and.
Ryan G WagnerMRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa; and.
Kathleen KahnMRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa; and.
Yaw AgyeiDepartment of Pathology, School of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD.
Audrey PettiforCarolina Population Center, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC.
University of the Witwatersrand · ZAAgincourt Health and Socio-Demographic Surveillance System · ZACancer Research Center · USDuke University · USJohns Hopkins University · USLondon School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine · GB

Funding

LOC: HIV Prevention Trials NetworkUM1AI068619 · NIAID · FAMILY HEALTH INTERNATIONAL · PI Sinead Delany-Moretlwe, RAPHAEL J LANDOVITZ · 2011 to 2026
$779.5M
SDMC: HPTN 084 Pregnancy SupplementUM1AI068617 · NIAID · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI Elizabeth Renata Brown, Deborah J Donnell · 2011 to 2026
$204.9M
LC: HIV Prevention Trials Network - Laboratory Support for the SARS-CoV-2 Seroprevalence Study (CoVPN 5002)UM1AI068613 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI SUSAN H ESHLEMAN, Mark A Marzinke · 2011 to 2026
$100.2M
Virology, Immunology, and Microbiology CoreP30AI050410 · NIAID · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI DAVID M. MARGOLIS · 2001 to 2026
$76.9M
Training in Sexually Transmitted Infections and HIVT32AI007001 · NIAID · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI SENA-SOBERANO, ARLENE C. · 1985 to 2025
$10.9M
Carolina Population CenterR24HD050924 · NICHD · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI MORGAN, SAMUEL PHILIP · 2005 to 2014
$10.0M
Research Services CoreP2CHD050924 · NICHD · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI KAREN B GUZZO · 2015 to 2026
$9.6M
Multilevel Mechanisms of HIV Acquisition in Young South African WomenR01MH110186 · NIMH · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI PETTIFOR, AUDREY · 2016 to 2020
$3.4M
Effects of Cash Transfer and Community Mobilization in Young South African WomenR01MH087118 · NIMH · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI PETTIFOR, AUDREY · 2009 to 2013
$2.5M
NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI050410NIAID NIH HHS T32 AI007001NIAID NIH HHS UM1 AI068613NIAID NIH HHS UM1 AI068617NIAID NIH HHS UM1 AI068619NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD050924NICHD NIH HHS R24 HD050924NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH087118NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH110186Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 058893/Z/99/AWellcome Trust 069683/Z/02/ZWellcome Trust 085477/B/08/ZWellcome Trust 085477/Z/08/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveIn sub-Saharan Africa, transactional sex is associated with an increased risk of HIV infection in adolescent girls and young women, but the mechanisms for this relationship remain unclear. We hypothesize that young women who report transactional sex may have multiple partners and older partners, thereby increasing their HIV risk.

settingWe used longitudinal data from the HPTN 068 trial in rural South Africa where young women aged 13-20 who were HIV-negative at enrolment (n = 2362) were followed approximately annually for up to 6 years.

methodsWe used the parametric g-formula to estimate the total effect of time-varying, frequent transactional sex (receipt of gifts/money at least weekly versus monthly or less) on HIV incidence and the controlled direct effect for mediation in a simulated cohort using 20,000 bootstrapped observations. We calculated rates and hazard ratios (HRs) over the entire study period.

resultsThe HR for the total effect of frequent transactional sex on HIV incidence was 1.56 (95% confidence interval: 1.28 to 1.85). However, this effect was mediated by partner age (>5+) and number of partners (>1) and the HR was attenuated to 1.09 (95% confidence interval: 0.90 to 1.28) when setting both partner age and partner number constant.

conclusionBoth partner age difference and partner number mediate the relationship between transactional sex and incident HIV infection. Through this mediation analysis, we provide important longitudinal evidence to suggest that young women who engage in frequent transactional sex select multiple partners, often older male partners that may be part of higher risk sexual networks.

Indexed as

Sex WorkAdolescentAdultCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleHIV InfectionsHumansIncidenceMaleRisk FactorsRural PopulationSexual BehaviorSexual PartnersSouth AfricaYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID31714368
PMCPMC6970545
OpenAlexW2988629454

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.