Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31711839›Full record

ArticleAnnals of epidemiology2019

Contextualizing tuberculosis risk in time and space: comparing time-restricted genotypic case clusters and geospatial clusters to evaluate the relative contribution of recent transmission to incidence of TB using nine years of case data from Michigan, USA.

Grace A Noppert, Zhenhua Yang, Philippa Clarke, Peter Davidson, Wen Ye, Mark L Wilson

Abstract readEvaluation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of epidemiology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. A case report of cervical pregnancy afterOpen medicine (Warsaw, Poland) · 2020
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Grace A NoppertDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor; Center for the Study of Aging and Human Development, Duke University, Durham, NC; Carolina Population Center, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hil. Electronic address: gnop@email.unc.edu.
Zhenhua YangDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor.
Philippa ClarkeDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor; Institute for Social Research, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor.
Peter DavidsonMichigan Department of Health and Human Services, Lansing, MI.
Wen YeDepartment of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor.
Mark L WilsonDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor.

Funding

Research Services CoreP2CHD050924 · NICHD · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI KAREN B GUZZO · 2015 to 2026
$9.6M
BEHAVIOR AND PHYSIOLOGY IN AGINGT32AG000029 · NIA · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI Maria Marquine · 1985 to 2026
$9.3M
Taste and smell enhancement in older cancer patientsP60AG011268 · NIA · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI COHEN, HARVEY JAY · 1992 to 2005
$5.8M
From Biological to Social Processes: Interdisciplinary Training in Life Course ResearchT32HD091058 · NICHD · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI ROBERT A HUMMER, Amanda L Thompson · 2017 to 2026
$4.3M
Social Disadvantage and Its Impact on Pathogen Burden and Immune Dysfunction Across the Life CourseK99AG062749 · NIA · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI NOPPERT, GRACE A · 2019 to 2020
$241k
NIA NIH HHS K99 AG062749NIA NIH HHS P60 AG011268NIA NIH HHS T32 AG000029NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD050924NICHD NIH HHS T32 HD091058
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeNovel approaches must address the underlying factors sustaining the tuberculosis (TB) epidemic in the United States, specifically what maintains new Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) transmission.

methodsCulture-confirmed TB cases reported to the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services (2004-2012) were analyzed for time-restricted genotypic and/or geospatial clustering. Cases with both types of clustering were used as a proxy for recent, local transmission. Modified, multivariate Poisson regression models were fit to estimate this prevalence in relation to various individual- and neighborhood-level demographic and socio-economic variables.

resultsThose individuals that were spatially clustered were 1.7 times as likely to also be time-restricted genotypically clustered. The prevalence of recent, local transmission was higher among U.S.-born cases, males, and non-Hispanic blacks. Moreover, people living in neighborhoods in the highest poverty quartile had 13.8 times the prevalence of recent, local transmission compared with those in the lowest poverty neighborhoods.

conclusionsOur results suggest geographic areas with high concentration of TB cases are likely driven by ongoing transmission, rather than enclaves of individuals who have reactivated a case of latent TB. Furthermore, efforts to continue reducing Mtb transmission in the United States, and other low-incidence settings, must better identify community-level sources of risk, manifested through the complex social interactions among people and their environments.

Indexed as

Health Status DisparitiesResidence CharacteristicsCluster AnalysisFemaleGenotypeGeographic MappingHumansIncidenceMaleMichiganMycobacterium tuberculosisPopulation SurveillancePrevalenceRisk FactorsSocial Determinants of HealthSocioeconomic FactorsNeighborhoodSocial disparitiesTransmissionTuberculosis

Identifiers

PMID31711839
PMCPMC6996495

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.