Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31709418›Full record

ArticleEClinicalMedicine2019

Identification of children at risk for mental health problems in primary care-Development of a prediction model with routine health care data.

Nynke R Koning, Frederike L Büchner, Robert R J M Vermeiren, Mathilde R Crone, Mattijs E Numans

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in EClinicalMedicine, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Nynke R KoningDepartment of Public Health and Primary Care, Leiden University Medical Centre, PO Box 9600 Postzone V0-P/V6-68, 2300 RC Leiden, The Netherlands.
Frederike L BüchnerDepartment of Public Health and Primary Care, Leiden University Medical Centre, PO Box 9600 Postzone V0-P/V6-68, 2300 RC Leiden, The Netherlands.
Robert R J M VermeirenDepartment of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, Leiden University Medical Centre, Curium-LUMC, The Netherlands.
Mathilde R CroneDepartment of Public Health and Primary Care, Leiden University Medical Centre, PO Box 9600 Postzone V0-P/V6-68, 2300 RC Leiden, The Netherlands.
Mattijs E NumansDepartment of Public Health and Primary Care, Leiden University Medical Centre, PO Box 9600 Postzone V0-P/V6-68, 2300 RC Leiden, The Netherlands.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDespite being common and having long lasting effects, mental health problems in children are often under-recognised and under-treated. Improving early identification is important in order to provide adequate, timely treatment. We aimed to develop prediction models for the one-year risk of a first recorded mental health problem in children attending primary care.

methodsWe carried out a population-based cohort study based on readily available routine healthcare data anonymously extracted from electronic medical records of 76 general practice centers in the Leiden area, the Netherlands. We included all patients aged 1-19 years on 31 December 2016 without prior mental health problems. Multilevel logistic regression analyses were used to predict the one-year risk of a first recorded mental health problem. Potential predictors were characteristics related to the child, family and healthcare use. Model performance was assessed by examining measures of discrimination and calibration.

findingsData from 70,000 children were available. A mental health problem was recorded in 27•7% of patients during the period 2007-2017. Age independent predictors were somatic complaints, more than two GP visits in the previous year, one or more laboratory test and one or more referral/contact with other healthcare professional in the previous year. Other predictors and their effects differed between age groups. Model performance was moderate (

interpretationThis study is a first promising step towards developing prediction models for identifying children at risk of a first mental health problem to support primary care practice by using routine healthcare data. Data enrichment from other available sources regarding e.g. school performance and family history could improve model performance. Further research is needed to externally validate our models and to establish whether we are able to improve under-recognition of mental health problems.

Indexed as

ChildrenIdentificationMental healthPrimary care

Identifiers

PMID31709418
PMCPMC6833364

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.