Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31707849›Full record

Trial reportCirculation2020

Predicting Benefit From Evolocumab Therapy in Patients With Atherosclerotic Disease Using a Genetic Risk Score: Results From the FOURIER Trial.

Nicholas A Marston, Frederick K Kamanu, Francesco Nordio, Yared Gurmu, Carolina Roselli, Peter S Sever, Terje R Pedersen, Anthony C Keech, Huei Wang, Armando Lira Pineda and 5 more

Erratum issued Registry-linked trialAbstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Circulation, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. It is linked to trial NCT07039123 (Polygenic Risk Score to Optimize Primary Prevention in Intermediate Risk Population), which is not on this map. Cited by 122 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
122citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT07039123 naactive not recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2025, after this paper: background citation

Polygenic Risk Score to Optimize Primary Prevention in Intermediate Risk Population (PERSONAL)

TypeinterventionalSponsorUniversity of BernRan2025 to 2027Enrolled205ConditionsPrimary Prevention of Cardiovascular DiseaseArmsPolygenic Risk Score for Coronary Artery Disease (PRS-CAD), Standardized Risk Communication Tool (SCORE2)
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

122 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Pooled it
  6. Trial
  7. Interactions of blood biomolecules with early rhythm control in atrial fibrillation patients: exploratory analysis of the EAST-AFNET 4 biomolecule study.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2026
    Trial
  8. Polygenic risk, aspirin, and primary prevention of coronary artery disease.European heart journal. Cardiovascular pharmacotherapy · 2025
    Trial
  9. Trial
  10. Trial
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Polygenic Prediction of Nongoal Response to Statin Therapy.Circulation. Genomic and precision medicine · 2026
    Article
  15. Review
  16. Review
  17. Review
  18. An introduction to polygenic scores - methodological basics and recent advances.Medizinische Genetik : Mitteilungsblatt des Berufsverbandes Medizinische Genetik e.V · 2026
    Article
  19. Polygenic risk scores in clinical applications - opportunities and challenges.Medizinische Genetik : Mitteilungsblatt des Berufsverbandes Medizinische Genetik e.V · 2026
    Article
  20. Article

62 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Nicholas A MarstonTIMI Study Group, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA (N.A.M., F.K.K., F.N., Y.G., R.P.G., M.S.S., C.T.R.).
Frederick K KamanuTIMI Study Group, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA (N.A.M., F.K.K., F.N., Y.G., R.P.G., M.S.S., C.T.R.).
Francesco NordioTIMI Study Group, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA (N.A.M., F.K.K., F.N., Y.G., R.P.G., M.S.S., C.T.R.).
Yared GurmuTIMI Study Group, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA (N.A.M., F.K.K., F.N., Y.G., R.P.G., M.S.S., C.T.R.).
Carolina RoselliCardiovascular Disease Initiative, Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard Cambridge, MA (C.R., S.A.L., P.T.E.).
Peter S SeverNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, United Kingdom (P.S.S.).
Terje R PedersenOslo University Hospital, Ulleval and Medical Faculty, University of Oslo, Norway (T.R.P.).
Anthony C KeechSydney Medical School, National Health and Medical Research Council Clinical Trials Centre, University of Sydney, Australia (A.C.K.).
Huei WangAmgen, Thousand Oaks, CA (H.W., A.L.P.).
Armando Lira PinedaAmgen, Thousand Oaks, CA (H.W., A.L.P.).
Robert P GiuglianoTIMI Study Group, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA (N.A.M., F.K.K., F.N., Y.G., R.P.G., M.S.S., C.T.R.).
Steven A LubitzCardiovascular Disease Initiative, Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard Cambridge, MA (C.R., S.A.L., P.T.E.).
Patrick T EllinorCardiovascular Disease Initiative, Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard Cambridge, MA (C.R., S.A.L., P.T.E.).
Marc S SabatineTIMI Study Group, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA (N.A.M., F.K.K., F.N., Y.G., R.P.G., M.S.S., C.T.R.).
Christian T RuffTIMI Study Group, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA (N.A.M., F.K.K., F.N., Y.G., R.P.G., M.S.S., C.T.R.).

Funding

Discovery and Application of Germline and Somatic Mutations for Risk Prediction and Personalized Therapy to Prevent Recurrent Myocardial InfarctionK08HL153950 · NHLBI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI MARSTON, NICHOLAS · 2020 to 2024
$647k
Creating Genetic Risk Scores to Predict Secondary Coronary Events, Response to Ezetimibe Therapy, and Development of Diabetes after Acute Coronary SyndromeF32HL144029 · NHLBI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI MARSTON, NICHOLAS · 2018 to 2019
$172k
NHLBI NIH HHS F32 HL144029NHLBI NIH HHS K08 HL153950NHLBI NIH HHS L30 HL143770
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe ability of a genetic risk score to predict risk in established cardiovascular disease and identify individuals who derive greater benefit from PCSK9 (proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9) inhibition has not been established.

methodsWe studied 14 298 patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease from the FOURIER trial (Further Cardiovascular Outcomes Researh With PCSK9 Inhibition in Subjects With Elevated Risk). A 27-single-nucleotide polymorphism genetic risk score defined low (quintile 1), intermediate (quintiles 2-4), and high (quintile 5) genetic risk. Patients were also categorized by major atherosclerotic risk factors including diabetes mellitus, hypertension, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol ≥100 mg/dl, and smoking; multiple (≥2) risk factors was considered high clinical risk. Outcomes consisted of major coronary events (coronary heart death, myocardial infarction, or coronary revascularization) and major vascular events (major coronary events and ischemic stroke). Median follow-up was 2.3 years.

resultsAfter we adjusted for clinical factors, the genetic risk score was associated with risk for both major vascular events (

conclusionPatients without multiple clinical risk factors or high genetic risk had a low event rate and did not appear to derive benefit from evolocumab over 2.3 years. Conversely, patients with multiple clinical risk factors but without high genetic risk had intermediate risk and intermediate risk reduction. Patients with high genetic risk, regardless of clinical risk, had a high event rate and derived the greatest relative and absolute benefit from evolocumab, which mitigated this risk.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAged, 80 and overAntibodies, Monoclonal, HumanizedAnticholesteremic AgentsAtherosclerosisCardiovascular DiseasesCholesterol, LDLDouble-Blind MethodFemaleFollow-Up StudiesGenotypeHumansMaleMiddle AgedPCSK9 InhibitorsAntibodies, Monoclonal, HumanizedAnticholesteremic AgentsCholesterol, LDLevolocumabPCSK9 InhibitorsPCSK9 protein, humanProprotein Convertase 9cardiovascular diseaseevolocumabgeneticsPCSK9 protein, humanrisk factors

Identifiers

PMID31707849
PMCPMC8058781

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.