Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31707823›Full record

ArticleCirculation. Cardiovascular quality and outcomes2019

Net Clinical Benefit of Oral Anticoagulation Among Older Adults With Atrial Fibrillation.

Sachin J Shah, Daniel E Singer, Margaret C Fang, Kristi Reynolds, Alan S Go, Mark H Eckman

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Circulation. Cardiovascular quality and outcomes, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.2field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 55 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Modelling anticoagulation and health-related quality of life in those with atrial fibrillation: a secondary analysis of AFFIRM.Clinical research in cardiology : official journal of the German Cardiac Society · 2024
    Trial
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  7. Review
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  11. Anticoagulation at the end of life: whether, when, and how to treat.Hematology. American Society of Hematology. Education Program · 2024
    Review
  12. Review
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  18. Article
  19. The Aging Heart: A Molecular and Clinical Challenge.International journal of molecular sciences · 2022
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Sachin J ShahUniversity of California, San Francisco (S.J.S., M.C.F., A.S.G.).
Daniel E SingerMassachusetts General Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA (D.E.S.).
Margaret C FangUniversity of California, San Francisco (S.J.S., M.C.F., A.S.G.).
Kristi ReynoldsDepartment of Research and Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, CA (K.R.).
Alan S GoUniversity of California, San Francisco (S.J.S., M.C.F., A.S.G.).
Mark H EckmanUniversity of Cincinnati College of Medicine, OH (M.H.E.).
Kaiser Permanente · US

Funding

LCenter for Clinical and Translational Science and TrainingUL1TR001425 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF CINCINNATI · PI MEINZEN-DERR, JAREEN, STRAWN, JEFFREY ROBERT · 2015 to 2024
$37.5M
Cincinnati Center for Clinical and Translational Sciences and TrainingUL1TR000077 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF CINCINNATI · PI HEUBI, JAMES E., TSEVAT, JOEL · 2012 to 2014
$9.9M
HMO Research Network Cardiovascular Research NetworkU19HL091179 · NHLBI · KAISER FOUNDATION RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI GO, ALAN S · 2007 to 2011
$8.7M
Contemporary Treatment and Outcomes for Atrial Fibrillation in Clinical PracticeRC2HL101589 · NHLBI · KAISER FOUNDATION RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI GO, ALAN S, SINGER, DANIEL EDWIN · 2009 to 2010
$5.0M
EPIDEMIOLOGY OF ANTICOAGULATION IN ATRIAL FIBRILLATIONR01AG015478 · NIA · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI SINGER, DANIEL EDWIN · 1997 to 2005
$4.1M
Improving the Detection of STIs in the Pediatric Emergency Department: A Pragmatic TrialR01HD094213 · NICHD · CHILDREN'S RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI GOYAL, MONIKA KUMARI, REED, JENNIFER LYNN · 2018 to 2022
$3.3M
Use and outcomes of anticoagulants for the treatment and prevention of thrombosis among hospitalized patientsK24HL141354 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI FANG, MARGARET C. · 2018 to 2022
$731k
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000077NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001425NHLBI NIH HHS K24 HL141354NHLBI NIH HHS RC2 HL101589NHLBI NIH HHS U19 HL091179NIA NIH HHS R01 AG015478NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD094213
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWhile guidelines recommend anticoagulation for all atrial fibrillation (AF) patients ≥75 years, evidence for the net clinical benefit (NCB) of anticoagulant in older adults is sparse. We sought to determine the association between age and NCB of anticoagulation in older adults with AF. METHODS AND

resultsWe examined adults ≥75 years with incident AF in the Anticoagulation and Risk Factors in Atrial Fibrillation-Cardiovascular Research Network cohort. Using a Markov state transition model, we estimated the lifetime NCB of warfarin and apixaban relative to no treatment in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). In the decision model, each month patients face a chance of stroke, hemorrhage, or death from a competing cause; the likelihood of each is a function of individual patients' stroke risk, hemorrhage risk, and life expectancy. We defined minimal clinically relevant lifetime benefit as 0.10 QALYs. In a sensitivity analysis, we examined the effect of competing risks of death on NCB using 2 models, one including competing risks and the second without competing risks. We included 14 946 patients, with a median age of 81 years and median CHA

conclusionsThe NCB of anticoagulation decreases with advancing age. The competing risk of death diminishes the NCB of anticoagulation for older patients with AF. Physicians should consider competing mortality risks when recommending anticoagulants to older adults with AF.

Indexed as

Administration, OralAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsAtrial FibrillationCaliforniaDecision Support TechniquesFactor Xa InhibitorsFemaleHemorrhageHumansIncidenceMaleProtective FactorsPyrazolesPyridonesapixabanFactor Xa InhibitorsPyrazolesPyridonesagingatrial fibrillationrisk assessmentrisk factorsstroke

Identifiers

PMID31707823
PMCPMC7117790
OpenAlexW2989310553

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.