Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31705633›Full record

ArticleInfluenza and other respiratory viruses2020

Flying, phones and flu: Anonymized call records suggest that Keflavik International Airport introduced pandemic H1N1 into Iceland in 2009.

Nishant Kishore, Rebecca Mitchell, Timothy L Lash, Carrie Reed, Leon Danon, Guðrún Sigmundsdóttir, Ymir Vigfusson

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Influenza and other respiratory viruses, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Cell-phone traces reveal infection-associated behavioral change.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2021
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Nishant KishoreDepartment of Epidemiology, T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-0408-2747
Rebecca MitchellDepartment of Computer Science, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Timothy L LashDepartment of Epidemiology, Rollins School of Public Health, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Carrie ReedEpidemiology and Prevention Branch, Influenza Division, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Leon DanonCollege of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.
Guðrún SigmundsdóttirCentre for Health Security and Communicable Disease Center Control, Directorate of Health of Iceland, Reykjavík, Iceland.
Ymir VigfussonDepartment of Computer Science, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundData collected by mobile devices can augment surveillance of epidemics in real time. However, methods and evidence for the integration of these data into modern surveillance systems are sparse. We linked call detail records (CDR) with an influenza-like illness (ILI) registry and evaluated the role that Icelandic international travellers played in the introduction and propagation of influenza A/H1N1pdm09 virus in Iceland through the course of the 2009 pandemic.

methodsThis nested case-control study compared odds of exposure to Keflavik International Airport among cases and matched controls producing longitudinal two-week matched odds ratios (mORs) from August to December 2009. We further evaluated rates of ILI among 1st- and 2nd-degree phone connections of cases compared to their matched controls.

resultsThe mOR was elevated in the initial stages of the epidemic from 7 August until 21 August (mOR = 2.53; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.35, 4.78). During the two-week period from 17 August through 31 August, we calculated the two-week incidence density ratio of ILI among 1st-degree connections to be 2.96 (95% CI: 1.43, 5.84).

conclusionsExposure to Keflavik International Airport increased the risk of incident ILI diagnoses during the initial stages of the epidemic. Using these methods for other regions of Iceland, we evaluated the geographic spread of ILI over the course of the epidemic. Our methods were validated through similar evaluation of a domestic airport. The techniques described in this study can be used for hypothesis-driven evaluations of locations and behaviours during an epidemic and their associations with health outcomes.

Indexed as

AirportsCase-Control StudiesHumansIcelandInfluenza A Virus, H1N1 SubtypeInfluenza, HumanPandemicsSeasonsSentinel SurveillanceTravelbig datacall detail recordscase-control studiesIcelandinfluenzapandemics

Identifiers

PMID31705633
PMCPMC6928030

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.