Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31703552›Full record

ArticleBMC bioinformatics2019

An EM algorithm to improve the estimation of the probability of clonal relatedness of pairs of tumors in cancer patients.

Audrey Mauguen, Venkatraman E Seshan, Irina Ostrovnaya, Colin B Begg

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC bioinformatics, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Identifying Locally Recurrent Versus Second Primary Breast Cancer: Genomic Versus Clinical Criteria from Carolina Breast Cancer Study Phase III.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2026
    Trial
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Audrey MauguenDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, 485 Lexington Ave, 2nd floor, New York, NY, 10017, USA. mauguena@mskcc.org.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3236-6093
Venkatraman E SeshanDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, 485 Lexington Ave, 2nd floor, New York, NY, 10017, USA.
Irina OstrovnayaDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, 485 Lexington Ave, 2nd floor, New York, NY, 10017, USA.
Colin B BeggDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, 485 Lexington Ave, 2nd floor, New York, NY, 10017, USA.

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI Hongbiao Carl Lekaye · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
Statistical Strategies for Establishing Etiologic Heterogeneity of TumorsR01CA163251 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INST CAN RESEARCH · PI BEGG, COLIN B · 2012 to 2015
$1.5M
Statistical Methods for Identifying Clonal TumorsR01CA124504 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INST CAN RESEARCH · PI BEGG, COLIN B · 2009 to 2011
$1.1M
National Cancer Institute (US) CA008748National Cancer Institute (US) CA124504National Cancer Institute (US) CA163251NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748NCI NIH HHS R01 CA124504NCI NIH HHS R01 CA163251
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWe previously introduced a random-effects model to analyze a set of patients, each of which has two distinct tumors. The goal is to estimate the proportion of patients for which one of the tumors is a metastasis of the other, i.e. where the tumors are clonally related. Matches of mutations within a tumor pair provide the evidence for clonal relatedness. In this article, using simulations, we compare two estimation approaches that we considered for our model: use of a constrained quasi-Newton algorithm to maximize the likelihood conditional on the random effect, and an Expectation-Maximization algorithm where we further condition the random-effect distribution on the data.

resultsIn some specific settings, especially with sparse information, the estimation of the parameter of interest is at the boundary a non-negligible number of times using the first approach, while the EM algorithm gives more satisfactory estimates. This is of considerable importance for our application, since an estimate of either 0 or 1 for the proportion of cases that are clonal leads to individual probabilities being 0 or 1 in settings where the evidence is clearly not sufficient for such definitive probability estimates.

conclusionsThe EM algorithm is a preferable approach for our clonality random-effect model. It is now the method implemented in our R package Clonality, making available an easy and fast way to estimate this model on a range of applications.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsProbabilityClone CellsComputer SimulationFemaleHumansLikelihood FunctionsNeoplasmsCancerClonalityEM algorithmParameter estimationRandom effect modelTumor mutation

Identifiers

PMID31703552
PMCPMC6839069

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.