Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31703402›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2019

Excess Mortality in Istanbul during Extreme Heat Waves between 2013 and 2017.

Günay Can, Ümit Şahin, Uğurcan Sayılı, Marjolaine Dubé, Beril Kara, Hazal Cansu Acar, Barış İnan, Özden Aksu Sayman, Germain Lebel, Ray Bustinza and 3 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.6field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 61 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Adverse heat-health outcomes and critical environmental limits (Pennsylvania State University Human Environmental Age Thresholds project).American journal of human biology : the official journal of the Human Biology Council · 2023
    Review
  4. Review
  5. A Review on Climate, Air Pollution, and Health in North Africa.Current environmental health reports · 2022
    Review
  6. Climatic influences on cardiovascular diseases.World journal of cardiology · 2022
    Review
  7. Article
  8. Association between maximum temperature and PMEnvironmental epidemiology (Philadelphia, Pa.) · 2021
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Günay CanDepartment of Public Health, Cerrahpasa Faculty of Medicine, Istanbul University-Cerrahpasa, Kocamustafapasa, Fatih, 34098 Istanbul, Turkey.
Ümit ŞahinSabanci University Istanbul Policy Center, Bankalar Caddesi, No:2 Karaköy Minerva Han, 34420 Istanbul, Turkey.
Uğurcan SayılıDepartment of Public Health, Cerrahpasa Faculty of Medicine, Istanbul University-Cerrahpasa, Kocamustafapasa, Fatih, 34098 Istanbul, Turkey.ORCID 0000-0002-5925-2128
Marjolaine DubéInstitut national de santé publique du Québec, 945 Avenue Wolfe, Québec, QC G1V 5B3, Canada.
Beril KaraDepartment of Public Health, Cerrahpasa Faculty of Medicine, Istanbul University-Cerrahpasa, Kocamustafapasa, Fatih, 34098 Istanbul, Turkey.
Hazal Cansu AcarDepartment of Public Health, Cerrahpasa Faculty of Medicine, Istanbul University-Cerrahpasa, Kocamustafapasa, Fatih, 34098 Istanbul, Turkey.
Barış İnanDepartment of Public Health, Cerrahpasa Faculty of Medicine, Istanbul University-Cerrahpasa, Kocamustafapasa, Fatih, 34098 Istanbul, Turkey.
Özden Aksu SaymanDepartment of Public Health, Cerrahpasa Faculty of Medicine, Istanbul University-Cerrahpasa, Kocamustafapasa, Fatih, 34098 Istanbul, Turkey.
Germain LebelInstitut national de santé publique du Québec, 945 Avenue Wolfe, Québec, QC G1V 5B3, Canada.
Ray BustinzaInstitut national de santé publique du Québec, 945 Avenue Wolfe, Québec, QC G1V 5B3, Canada.
Hüseyin KüçükaliDepartment of Public Health, Istanbul Medipol University School of Medicine, Kavacık mah. Ekinciler cad. No:19 Kavacık Kavşağı, Beykoz, 34810 Istanbul, Turkey.ORCID 0000-0003-1669-3107
Umur GüvenCerrahpasa Faculty of Medicine, Istanbul University-Cerrahpasa, Kocamustafapasa, Fatih, 34098 Istanbul, Turkey.
Pierre GosselinInstitut national de santé publique du Québec and Université Laval, 945 Avenue Wolfe, Québec, QC G1V 5B3, Canada.
Istanbul University-Cerrahpaşa · TRInstitut National de Santé Publique du Québec · CAIstanbul Medipol University · TRSabancı Üniversitesi · TR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Heat waves are one of the most common direct impacts of anthropogenic climate change and excess mortality their most apparent impact. While Turkey has experienced an increase in heat wave episodes between 1971 and 2016, no epidemiological studies have examined their potential impacts on public health so far. In this study excess mortality in Istanbul attributable to extreme heat wave episodes between 2013 and 2017 is presented. Total excess deaths were calculated using mortality rates across different categories, including age, sex, and cause of death. The analysis shows that three extreme heat waves in the summer months of 2015, 2016, and 2017, which covered 14 days in total, significantly increased the mortality rate and caused 419 excess deaths in 23 days of exposure. As climate simulations show that Turkey is one of the most vulnerable countries in the Europe region to the increased intensity of heat waves until the end of the 21st century, further studies about increased mortality and morbidity risks due to heat waves in Istanbul and other cities, as well as intervention studies, are necessary.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedChildChild, PreschoolCitiesClimate ChangeExtreme HeatFemaleHot TemperatureHumansInfantMaleMiddle AgedMortalityPublic Healthcardiovascularheat wavehigh temperatureIstanbulmortality

Identifiers

PMID31703402
PMCPMC6887774
OpenAlexW2983551938

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.