ArticleBMC public health2019
Projections of the effects of global warming on the disease burden of ischemic heart disease in the elderly in Tianjin, China.
Article in BMC public health, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 37 citations in OpenAlex.
- Projected impact of climate change on human health in low- and middle-income countries: a systematic review.BMJ global health · 2024Pooled it
- Shexiang Tongxin Dropping Pill Improves Stable Angina Patients with Phlegm-Heat and Blood-Stasis Syndrome: A Multicenter, Randomized, Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled Trial.Chinese journal of integrative medicine · 2025Trial
- Impacts of long-term climate change on human health: a global scoping review of quantitative research.BMJ open · 2026Article
- Trends and projections of ischemic heart disease burden in the Belt and Road countries and China from 1990 to 2021: a study based on the 2021 global burden of disease.Annals of medicine · 2025Article
- Climate change effects in older people's health: A scoping review.Journal of advanced nursing · 2025Article
- Risk prediction of cardiometabolic diseases with depression in the community of Xinjiang production and construction corps.BMC public health · 2025Article
- The influence of habitual tooth brushing frequency on individuals diagnosed with coronary artery disease.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Epidemiology of Ischemic Heart Disease Burden Attributable to High Temperature in Asia From GBD 2021.JACC. Asia · 2025Article
- Article
- Global, regional, and national burden of ischemic heart disease attributable to environmental risk factors from 1990 to 2021: a systematic analysis based on the 2021 global burden of disease study.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Health Co-Benefits of Environmental Changes in the Context of Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality in China.Health data science · 2024Review
- Trends in all-cause mortality and leading causes of death from 2009 to 2019 among older adults in China.BMC geriatrics · 2023Article
- Mortality trend analysis of ischemic heart disease in China between 2010 and 2019: a joinpoint analysis.BMC public health · 2023Article
- The effect and prediction of diurnal temperature range in high altitude area on outpatient and emergency room admissions for cardiovascular diseases.International archives of occupational and environmental health · 2021Article
- Epidemiology and the Magnitude of Coronary Artery Disease and Acute Coronary Syndrome: A Narrative Review.Journal of epidemiology and global health · 2021Review
- Age-Related Changes in the Thermoregulatory Properties in Bank Voles From a Selection Experiment.Frontiers in physiology · 2020Article
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Authors and funding
5 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundIschemic heart disease (IHD) is one of the leading causes of deaths worldwide and causes a tremendous disease burden. Temperature is an important environmental determinant among the many risk factors for IHD. However, the emerging temperature-related health risks of IHD in the elderly is limited because of the lack of estimates that integrate global warming and demographic change.
methodsData on daily IHD deaths in the elderly aged ≥65 years and meteorological conditions were collected in Tianjin, a megacity of China, from 2006 to 2011. First, the baseline relationship between the temperature and years of life lost (YLL) from IHD was established. Then, future assessments were performed in combination with temperature projections for 19 global-scale climate models (GCMs) under 3 representative concentration pathways (RCPs) for the 2050s and 2070s.
resultsIncreased YLL from IHD in the elderly was found to be associated with future ambient temperatures. The annual temperature-related YLL from IHD in the 2050s and 2070s were higher than the baseline. For instance, increases of 4.5, 14.9 and 38.3% were found under the RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, respectively, in the 2070s. The most significant increases occurred in warm season months. The increase in heat-related YLL will not be completely offset, even with the 25% adaptation assumed. When considering demographic change, the temperature-related disease burden of IHD in the elderly will be exacerbated by 158.4 to 196.6% under 3 RCPs in the 2050s and 2070s relative to the baseline.
conclusionsThese findings have significant meaning for environmental and public health policy making and interventions towards the important issue of the health impacts of global warming on the elderly.
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