Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31694629›Full record

ArticleBMC medical informatics and decision making2019

A machine-learning approach to predict postprandial hypoglycemia.

Wonju Seo, You-Bin Lee, Seunghyun Lee, Sang-Man Jin, Sung-Min Park

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medical informatics and decision making, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 28 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
28citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
4.9field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

28 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 71 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Review
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  9. Artificial Intelligence to Diagnose Complications of Diabetes.Journal of diabetes science and technology · 2025
    Review
  10. Observational
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  18. Hypoglycemia event prediction from CGM using ensemble learning.Frontiers in clinical diabetes and healthcare · 2022
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Wonju SeoDepartment of Creative IT engineering, POSTECH, 77, Cheongam-Ro, Nam-Gu, Pohang, 37673, Republic of Korea.
You-Bin LeeDivision of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Department of Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, 81, Irwon-ro, Seoul, 06351, Republic of Korea.
Seunghyun LeeDepartment of Creative IT engineering, POSTECH, 77, Cheongam-Ro, Nam-Gu, Pohang, 37673, Republic of Korea.
Sang-Man JinDivision of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Department of Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, 81, Irwon-ro, Seoul, 06351, Republic of Korea. smj0919@skku.edu.
Sung-Min ParkDepartment of Creative IT engineering, POSTECH, 77, Cheongam-Ro, Nam-Gu, Pohang, 37673, Republic of Korea. sungminpark@postech.ac.kr.ORCID 0000-0002-8359-8110
Pohang University of Science and Technology · KRSamsung Medical Center · KR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundFor an effective artificial pancreas (AP) system and an improved therapeutic intervention with continuous glucose monitoring (CGM), predicting the occurrence of hypoglycemia accurately is very important. While there have been many studies reporting successful algorithms for predicting nocturnal hypoglycemia, predicting postprandial hypoglycemia still remains a challenge due to extreme glucose fluctuations that occur around mealtimes. The goal of this study is to evaluate the feasibility of easy-to-use, computationally efficient machine-learning algorithm to predict postprandial hypoglycemia with a unique feature set.

methodsWe use retrospective CGM datasets of 104 people who had experienced at least one hypoglycemia alert value during a three-day CGM session. The algorithms were developed based on four machine learning models with a unique data-driven feature set: a random forest (RF), a support vector machine using a linear function or a radial basis function, a K-nearest neighbor, and a logistic regression. With 5-fold cross-subject validation, the average performance of each model was calculated to compare and contrast their individual performance. The area under a receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and the F1 score were used as the main criterion for evaluating the performance.

resultsIn predicting a hypoglycemia alert value with a 30-min prediction horizon, the RF model showed the best performance with the average AUC of 0.966, the average sensitivity of 89.6%, the average specificity of 91.3%, and the average F1 score of 0.543. In addition, the RF showed the better predictive performance for postprandial hypoglycemic events than other models.

conclusionIn conclusion, we showed that machine-learning algorithms have potential in predicting postprandial hypoglycemia, and the RF model could be a better candidate for the further development of postprandial hypoglycemia prediction algorithm to advance the CGM technology and the AP technology further.

Indexed as

Machine LearningAdultAlgorithmsBlood GlucoseBlood Glucose Self-MonitoringHumansHypoglycemiaHypoglycemic AgentsLogistic ModelsRetrospective StudiesSensitivity and SpecificitySupport Vector MachineBlood GlucoseHypoglycemic AgentsDiabetesHypoglycemiaMachine-learning approachRisk prediction

Identifiers

PMID31694629
PMCPMC6833234
OpenAlexW2988860641

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.